Which Bowl Game Odds Are Most Deceiving?

College football season is over. But, the fun has only just begun. There will be 44 Bowl games being played over the next few weeks at FBS, including two College Soccer Playoffs and the National Championship tilt. With all of that in mind, we know there will be a few trap games mixed in the pool for some value play.

Let’s take a look at two such games that will appear in Week 15 on WynnBET Sportsbook Odds table will be later this week.

Tulsa vs Old Dominion (+9.5) in Myrtle Beach Bowl

It’s pretty amazing that Old Dominion even has a winning record right now after starting the season with a 1-6 record. They spent two disastrous months before regrouping and winning the final five games of the season. Not only did they win those five games, but they also won the whole match and won all three of them as the underdog. So the odds bettors haven’t quite adapted to the soaring Monarch and I’m putting that to good use in the Myrtle Beach Bowl.

In the opposite direction, Tulsa Golden Hurricanes is the better team and will probably win this match. However, they have struggled to take the teams far this season, and their all but one win has come by seven points or less. As a favorite, they do it less than 38% of the time while Monarchs’ ATS win rate is over 66%. Another indicator that jumps out is the difference in revenue between these two teams. In their all-win streak, Monarch has been forced to total 10 spins while Tulsa are doing 4.03% of their play and have skipped 24 spins this season.

South Carolina State vs. Jackson State (-10) in Celebration Bowl

The second game that made me a good trap candidate was the Celebration Bowl between the South Carolina State Bulldogs and the Jackson State Tigers. The latter is being coached by Hall-of-Famer Deion Sanders, who led the show to the 11-1 season and SWAC title with a win over Prarie View A&M 27-10.

This game brings Neon Deion back to Atlanta, where he was picked by the Falcons in the 1989 NFL Draft. While not technically an FBS game, it was a great game and I think it’s one. Great spot to fade the love. While I don’t see the Bulldogs 6-5 shock the world and beat the Tigers, I think this won’t be a failure the odds are in.

First, with all the attention given to Sanders and this team in front of a packed house at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, the Tigers are being overvalued. Even if it’s just a little, it turns out to be a great weakness for Bulldogs. Don’t let the 6-5 record fool you. The Bulldogs have had a poor start to the season, losing three of their first four games, including a 49-3 loss to Clemson. But they came back and lost just one game in the final six weeks of the season. They have some legit high school talent, including the 2021 MEAC Defensive Player of the Year at Decobie Durant. With this predicted to be a low score match with a total of only 42, I think the variance is too high to ignore the under double digits.

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John Verrall

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