If you thought March Madness was just for basketball, thanks again!
The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Tournament is happening this week, bringing a frenzy to the golfing world!
The top golfers on the planet will play the only match on the PGA Tour’s schedule. The event will begin on Thursday, and there will be a scoring round between 16 different groups. The winners from each group then advance to the main stage of the tournament.
The only golfers who qualified for the event, but did not, were Cameron Smith, Rory McIlroy, Hideki Matsuyama, Harris English, Phil Mickelson and last week’s winner, Sam Burns.
Let’s start by looking at the top 10 odds to win the event, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.
The matchmaking tournament is by far the most exciting event to bet on on the PGA Tour schedule. The format is perfect As for gambling and with a series of head-to-head matches spanning over five days, there are plenty of opportunities to make money.
With that being said, it can present some challenges. The first is that there’s no shot link data of course, so we don’t have a great idea of what works and what doesn’t at Austin Country Club. Also, the only other golf events that can be played are the Ryder Cup and President’s Cup, so we have a limited (if any) history of how golfers perform with this format.
In the end, the underdogs often fare better than people think. It’s a lot easier to roll over when each hole counts as a single point, rather than the cumulative number of strokes accumulated throughout the round.
For example, last year only one golfer in the top 20 made it to the final round.
By no means is it the norm and expect the same this year, but it is certainly something to consider when placing your bets.
With no advanced analytics to begin with when accepting this fact, there are two things that I want to stick with; total number of hits and birdie ratio. The total hits will give us an overview of the golfer’s performance this season and the birdie is what will win the golfers’ games this week. Sometimes there’s nothing to worry about.
You should also check out their track record to see how they’ve performed throughout their careers. You can find a database about that here at Adamsarson.com.
There are many ways to bet on this event, but in this article I will focus on a few names that I want to win outright. Odds, as always, through WynnBET.
Viktor Hovland +1600
Viktor Hovland was on fire from the end of the game, and he had a pretty easy path to the quarterfinals with his “A” game. He’s in the same group as Will Zalatoris, Cameron Tringale and Sepp Straka, so I believe he could be out of the group with Zalatoris on the losing side right now. He will then face off against the winner of the rather weak Group 14. Things will get complicated in the quarters, but he should blend in,
Hovland is fourth on the Tour in birdie averages and T28 in total strokes. He’s been 1-2-1 in his professional career, but he’s still young and he plays golf as well as he ever has, so I won’t read too much into that record.
Patrick Cantlay +2200
Patrick Cantlay is my favorite bet to win it all. He is 7-3-1 in the rounds of his professional career, and 4-1 in his last five, including a 4 and 2 defeat to Shane Lowry at the 2021 Ryder Cup. His only loss here last year was against Hideki Matsuyama, who kept him from the group stage.
Cantlay is 17th on the Tour in total strokes this season, and no one on the court has averaged more strokes per half than him at 5.23.
Kevin Kisner +6600
A former winner of the tournament, Kevin Kisner may be the most underrated match-player on the PGA Tour. He is 16-6-2 in his career in the rounds, and 8-1 in the last nine.
He’s 45th in total strokes and 32nd in birdie average this season, but you can’t throw all the stats out the window. Kisner has proven he thrives in match play situations, so he’s worth a 66/1 bet based on that fact alone.
Check out Iain MacMillan’s bets and Details here.
https://fansided.com/betsided/posts/wgc-dell-technologies-match-play-picks-and-betting-preview-golfs-version-of-march-madness?utm_source=RSS WGC-Dell Technologies Match Picks and Betting Preview (March Madness Golf Edition)