For each featured game, typically the Sunday Night Football, Monday Night Football and Thursday Night Football interceptors, this column will provide free analysis for individual modality actions odd on DraftKings and FanDuel. This will include team members, player ratings, comments and NFL DFS picks for today. There’s loads of information and NFL DFS Showdown options to enter for both DraftKings and FanDuel on this Monday 16th Night Soccer blocker featuring the New Orleans Saints hosting the Miami Dolphins.
NFL DFS Showdown Picks: Monday Night Football Week 16
Miami has a number of COVID-19 reserve players, including the receiver Albert Wilson and Lyn Bowden Jr., defender of attack Solomon Kindley, Robert Jones and Greg Mancz, tight ending Cethan Carter and Duke Riley defender. New Orleans is also in a similar situation with the midfielders Taysom Hill and Trevor Siemian, tight end Adam Trautman and Juwan Johnson, receiver Deonte Harris, run again Dwayne Washington, defender of attack Ryan Ramczyk, James Carpenter and Jordan Mills, pavers Kwon Alexander, Demario Davis and Kaden Eliss, line of defense Christian Ringo and Carl Granderson, and defensive defender JT Grey, Jeff Heath, and Malcolm Jenkins.
New Orleans are missing half of their defense, which includes all of their key subs and three of their four core defenders. Currently, their defense is barely intact, only Malcom Jenkins missing from the top eight. Even though they’re at home, it’s hard to trust much of their top DVOA and their No 6 pass.
Tagovailoa led the Dolphins to four straight wins, and in this stretch he averaged 25 finishes in 33 attempts at 235.8 yards, seven touchdowns, three interceptions and three messy times. On a positive note, he’s only been fired five times, though he only dashed for 26 yards in 16 attempts. In the limited player pool, Tagovailoa would be one of the best picks, although he’s only had two performances of 20 or more fantasy points, and that’s all the way back in Week 6 and 7 in Jacksonville and the game against Atlanta.
Duke Johnson seems to have come from nowhere to dominate Miami’s backyard, with 22 attempts for 107 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Myles Gaskin had missed most of the previous two weeks in the COVID-19 reserve and was not ready for a full workload, getting 10 carry for 54 yards. It’s more than likely that the duo will play back yard together again, as it never seems like Gaskin can afford to take on the lead role. Phillip Lindsay outside of health and safety regulations, even though he only joined the team a few weeks after his debut by Houston and has already played in one game. Patrick Laird was in the reserve wounded, but Salvon Ahmed is still lurking and makes this an ambiguous forecast.
Albert Wilson within the health and safety protocol, although Jaylen Waddle has returned. DeVante Parker will work with intermediate routes and is a solid choice alongside Waddle. Some combinations of Mack Hollins, Preston Williams and Isaiah Ford will be filled in as alternative options.
Mike Gesicki really just a nominally tight finish, as he’s lined up most of the time in position or detached from the line. Currently, he is second on the team in terms of goals with 97, just behind Waddle 116. Durham Smythe is the more traditional tight end, and he and Hunter Long each goal has two goals for the past two weeks.
Defense / Special Team
This unit is absolutely up against a rookie midfielder playing at center back for the first time. Miami already has all the defensive substitutes available, and they only lack two key subs. While New Orleans is likely to roll out a very conservative game plan, the Dolphins should be able to box up and force some third and lengthy scenarios.
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Book of Ian Perhaps someone only Notre Dame fans know about, as he’s had a relatively unsuccessful college career despite starting most of his final three seasons. The book was selected in the fourth round of the most recent draft and New Orleans also signed it Blake Bortles to serve as its backup. After losing his Jacksonville gig at the end of the 2018 season, Bortles played just three games for the Rams, with two passing in 2019. Since then Bortles has been with Denver, returning to Los Angeles, and the season This tournament he was on and off the Green Bay practice team. Even though he’s only been with the team for three days, it wouldn’t be a complete shock to see him play tonight if Book had problems mid-game.
Alvin Kamara Had a great Week 16 last year when he had 22 runs in 155 yards and six touchdowns against Minnesota. Sadly, he wasn’t even predicted for a third of that output, with the Awesemo algorithm assigning him to carry 18.2 64.68 yard runs and a 40% chance of hitting the ball. In the pass game, he is predicted for 4.9 goals, 3.6 hits and 29.8 yards with a 12% chance of reaching the final zone. Regardless of how it plays out via call-to-play, the Saints’ best chance is to have the ball in Kamara’s hands as often as possible tonight.
Mark Ingram II definitely playing as well and will see about 12 chances to spell Kamara. In all likelihood, with tonight’s game in focus, there will be no surprises for either of them Tony Jones and Ty Montgomery to be active. They are not attractive picks and are really only intended in large-scale tournaments as differentiating picks.
Tre’Quan Smith is dealing with a shoulder problem, even though he was supposed to compete. Last week, he was on the field for 66% of catches, and Marquez Callaway leading with 85% market share. Lil’Jordan Humphrey worked on 26%, while Easop Winston had a snap. Deonte Harris is still serving his suspension while also on the COVID reserve list. It’s hard to excite anyone about Saints, although the first three choices mentioned here work on a mathematical basis.
Nick Vannett is the only sane tight end, for both Adam Trautman and Juwan Johnson within the health and safety protocol and Garrett Griffin landed on the injured reserve before the final game. New Orleans will likely use a create player to assist Vannett, although he has to be 75-80% of the time and becomes a very interesting pick.
Defense / Special Team
Half the protection is in the health and safety protocol, which makes them a lottery ticket at best.
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NFL Strategy DFS Soccer One Game on Monday Night
The leaderboards below are best used for one-entry and three-maximum lineups and for head-to-head and three-man formats. They provide a nice barometer for player value, but for those using the MME method, remember that correlation is key. This means matching one or two receivers with a midfielder in a Captain/MVP position. This also works in reverse of pairing a Captain/MVP pass catcher with their quarterback.
Week 16 Football Monday Night NFL DFS Standings
NFL DFS Showdown Top 10 Picks
- Alvin Kamara: New Orleans is even in the NFC Wild Card race and they desperately need a win. Expect Kamara to see at least two dozen touches tonight.
- Tua Tagovailoa: Defense will definitely equalize the match on this road. His recent game log is still terrifyingly bad from a fantasy perspective.
- DeVante Parker: Take a discount on Waddle and don’t think twice.
- Mark Ingram: Kamara is likely to appear in the red zone, but he’s still in the mix for a heavyweight scenario.
- Jaylen Waddle: Some practice has been done after clearing health and safety protocols. Should be back to return the slaps and kickoffs.
- Books of Ian: That’s a length of time to expect more than 15 fantasy points. Maybe he’ll fight for some relationships.
- Mike Gesicki: Seven weeks since his last encounter; At least he has an experienced midfielder.
- Miami D/ST: The rookie defenders make a lot of mistakes.
- Brett Maher: Nine times in five games against New Orleans; they may not get many rides in the red zone tonight.
- Jason Sanders: Perfect at the league average.
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- Miles Gaskin and Duke Johnson: This feels like whichever player is chosen will be the wrong one. Go ahead and play them together in formation to capture all the backyard chores.
- Nick Vannett: Inexperienced rookies and midfielders often use the tight finish as a safety valve option, and he is the last man available to the saints.
- Marquez Callaway: There is no salary discount for rookie midfielders; will return kickoffs and slaps when Harris is eliminated.
- Tre’Quan Smith: The shoulder problem puts him below Callaway and Vannett.
- Lil’Jordan Humphrey: King Troll Touchdown.
NFL DFS Showdown Picks Lottery Tickets
- New Orleans D/ST: Missing too many players to become a cohesive unit worth trusting.
- Isaiah Ford: What if he watched his inner Isaiah McKenzie tonight?
- Durham Smythe: Only DraftKings; he only has $600 and can hit one or two goals.
- Mack Hollins and Preston Williams: $200 on DraftKings; just a small goal in his final five games for the Hollins. Williams’ ultimate goal is in Week 12 and his final reception is in Week 5.
- Salvon Ahmed, Ty Montgomery and Tony Jones: Things are getting thinner with the third thread running again.
- Blake Bortles, Jacoby Brissett, Phillip Lindsay, Adam Shaheen, Tommylee Lewis: A perfect end to Week 16 would involve one of these latter thoughts.
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