Villanova is looking to continue its long-term dominance over UConn

The Villanova Wildcats 21-6 #8 will take on the 19-7 #21 Connecticut Huskies at 8 p.m. EST and hope to continue their dominance dating back eight years.

Having enjoyed an 85-74 win over the Huskies earlier this month, the Wildcats might be surprised to find themselves the underdog tonight. WynnBET Sportsbook has Villanova as Under 2 points and +112 on the money door (bet $10 for $11.20 profit), so can bettors look at the top lane for tonight’s value?

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The Huskies know full well that they haven’t beaten the Wildcats since 2014 and this represents one of their best opportunities to do so. UConn has the ability to attack and defend in the top 40 thanks to his superior internal attack. They have the 2nd best counter-attack rate and the 4th best defensive 2-point shot rate in the country and will use that advantage to slow a foul from Villanova which ranks 5th nationally in terms of effectiveness. correction.

But despite a three-game winning streak, the Huskies are yet to play their best basketball at the end of the year. They are just 2-6 to the odds (ATS) in their last eight games and 2-4 ATS in the last six as a favorite.

While UConn has the advantage inside, Villanova’s 59th-highest three-pointer rate offers a big advantage over the Huskies’ 193rd-ranked three-point defence. Star guard Collin Gillespie is bombarding 43 per cent more than this season’s outer ring and doesn’t want to be the losing man against UConn.

Villanova have won 5 and 6 in a row in their last 7 laning matches, so they are used to winning behind enemy lines. The Huskies shot 8/20 from three shots in the first game and still lost 11, and it will be difficult for them to repeat that performance against a Wildcats perimeter defense that only allows their opponents to shoot 31.3% of the three. in year.

I think the Wildcats should be a priority in this section and love the value we’re getting in a versatile Nova team to keep their streak going. Given Villanova’s history in this game and UConn’s recent performance and ATS struggles, I overcame the Wildcats for a sixth straight win over the Huskies.

Pick: Villanova +112 Villanova is looking to continue its long-term dominance over UConn

John Verrall

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