Unders has been a huge success
NFL Wild Card Weekend kicks off Saturday afternoon with Las Vegas Raiders and Cincinnati Bengals; and we are in BetSided you’ve covered a lot of historical trends on how teams have performed this particular weekend.
There was, of course, an extra game for the second year in a row where only the No. 1 seeds were said goodbye, but here are some intriguing trends, or lack thereof, into the NFL knockouts.
No edge for Wild Card Weekend favorites
As of 2010 on Wild Card Weekend, the odds are 44-45-2 ATS, so there’s no real advantage to blindly betting on favorites or weaker teams.
However, the big favorites have squashed the number in memory lately. Through the Analysis of Clev, only two teams below double numbers covered the disparity in the first round of the knockout round. Kansas City Chiefs are the only ones on the board this week at -13 at WynnBET Sportsbook on Sunday against the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Pitt chose the dog 12.5 points in KC. This is the highest wildcard spread ever. Chi closed 11 in New Orleans last year. There have been 10 double digit dogs in wildcard history and only 2 covered. In case someone’s reason for taking Pitt could be “too many points in a playoff gm”
– TA (@ClevTA) January 10, 2022
This happened before 2010, but shows that the betting market has worked when it comes to the post-season big favorite ATS discussion.
Below are the big winners on Wild Card weekend
Unders is cashing out at 65% on Wild Card games since 2010, a whopping number considering this is over 92 sample games.
There are a number of different reasons many will discuss, such as games being “tighter” due to the intensity of the playoff games, or winter weather in certain locations.
Although I am not saying these are the sure reasons why, Weather at the two AFC locations is expected this Saturday that could affect the total.
Be careful with rookie midfielders
Analysis of Clev posted another interesting Wild Card weekend trend, this time focusing on rookie quarterbacks.
Posted this last year but QB started its first playoff with non-QB 16-31 straight up and 14-32-1 on the scoresheet since 2002. Baker won last year. Hurts, Mac & Kyler match this week. Carr v Burrow will match but obv play each other https://t.co/Q8f2Vaz92L
– TA (@ClevTA) January 10, 2022
A variety of quarterbacks apply to this trend, including Derek Carr and Joe Burrow, who play against each other as well as Mac Jones, Jalen Hurts and Kyler Murray.
https://fansided.com/betsided/posts/wild-wagering-trends-for-nfl-wild-card-weekend-unders-have-hit-it-big?utm_source=RSS Unders has been a huge success
