To end Russia-Ukraine tensions, Vladimir Putin needs a way to save face

Ukraine is a crisis that Russian President Vladimir Putin has taken on himself, and if it gets out of hand, he will be solely responsible. But the West, especially the United States, must make sure that the Russian leader does not drag the rest of the world, especially Europe, to the brink.

There must be some way to give Putin a path astray. At this point, President Joe Biden has desperately lacked that.

This means that whoever is in charge at this point – and there will be plenty of time to point fingers once the More than 100,000 Russian troops along the border with Ukraine start heading towards Kyiv, or home – there must be some way to give Putin a shortcut. At this point, President Joe Biden has desperately lacked that.

Having a long shopping list can start to turn matters in a more positive direction, both carrots and sticks. But so far, there seem to have been very few but sticks. In recent days, there has been a flurry of direct threats from the United States – extreme sanctions, sending in 8,500 troops. “highly prepared” just in case NATO decides to activate “reaction force. “Meanwhile, France has offered to send Army to RomaniaDenmark is sending F-16 jets to Lithuania, Dutch F-35 jets to Bulgaria, and Spain a frigate to the Black Sea.

More importantly, the carrot allows Putin to save face and be able – especially to his most important domestic audience – to paint himself and Russia as winners. Here’s a concept America rarely understands: Putin, quite simply, wants to be respected.

“I don’t think the US is the one who wants to solve it” the Ukraine crisis, Nina Khrushcheva of the New School told me in a phone interview. The granddaughter of Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev, who recently returned from a year in Moscow, added, “The Americans want to weaken Putin even more.” And that is not the path towards a peaceful resolution.

It is worth mentioning that then President John F. Kennedy gave Khrushchev a way to save face for The Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962 by agreeing to withdraw the US Jupiter medium-range missiles from Turkey, a NATO member state. That will become the model for Biden now.

After all, Putin, for all he is up to, needs to show some victory if he is to be coaxed back from the invasion. With Covid-19 still raging in the yard and expanding widely rich-poor gap, his nearly 20 years in power have shown little improvement in the lives of most Russians, which Putin has admitted is his biggest worry. Indeed, much of this discontent was expressed in growing opposition from leaders such as the captive Alexei Navalny, who Putin just labeled a terrorist in his latest attempt to reduce his growing following. Putin really needs some awareness of a home win.

To be sure, the US wants to encourage a multi-party system in Russia and reclaim some of Washington’s lost ground in any recent global affairs. There are still nomenclatures for the word the defeat of President Barack Obama then reacted quickly and with difficulty to Putin’s seizure of the Crimean peninsula from Ukraine in 2014. More recently, the United States has lost face on itself. dire sign of the war in Afghanistan.

It appears that Russia’s new threat to Ukraine is a tailor-made crisis that would allow Biden to stand up to Putin and show his mainstay, while possibly further undermining Putin’s domestic standing. again. This perhaps comes at an opportunistic time to dethrone the Russian leader. But is it the right choice and is it the right time? Are you sure.

The world has a diplomatic device, eight years old, that can act as a diplomatic device – one designed to allow diplomacy to escape the grip of US intervention: Normandy format. At the 2014 D-Day celebrations in Normandy, Germany, Russia, Ukraine and France agreed to start quadrilateral informal talks to resolve the ongoing violence in eastern Ukraine. The United States was excluded, as the process was designed to be an intra-European effort.

Europe as a whole wants to ease tensions and allow diplomacy to take precedence over what America wants; Unlike the US military on standby, European security measures are security measures. And recent readings from The White House and France’s Elysee The palace after a joint call with other European allies, Ukraine, Russia and Russian ally Belarus shows these somewhat divergent orientations.

The Elysée statement stressed the need for “de-escalation” in “negotiations” as part of “intensified dialogue with Russia that we are leading”, i.e. through the Normandy Format, with An upcoming consultation has been scheduled between Putin and French President Emmanuel Macron. By contrast, the American document makes no mention of Normandy or a French role. Although it expressed support for a diplomatic solution, its language on that score was clearly more tedious.

On Wednesday, the United States issued a written response to Russia’s requests for Ukraine. The content hasn’t been made widely available, but it likely hasn’t gone as far as European officials in resume briefings thought they would like, especially on the crucial issue of membership. NATO membership to Ukraine, which Russia strongly opposes.

The draft US note submitted to Russia on Wednesday makes no change to the open-door policy for Ukraine’s membership in NATO, according to the report. Foreign Minister Antony Blinken. But Western European countries like France may be willing to make concessions to prevent Moscow from invading. Most of NATO’s European members have little desire to actually add any country that may need to invoke Article V (attack on one is attack on all) anytime soon.

Aside from policy goals, what might make Putin smart the most is his abrupt and discordant manner expulsion from G-8 in 2014 after capturing Crimea. The G-7 has become the ultimate club for powerful nations. Since then, Putin has vexedly stuck his nose in the window. It is clear that this is not the time to reward him, and this does not appear to have been mentioned in the US letter to Putin. But some means of proving that Russia is not quite a pariah, on its way to joining the ranks of North Korea and Iran, would be a good start.

It is time for America to take a step back and let Europeans play a key role in these initiatives. After all, they have a more direct and closer stake in an all-out war on their continent and appear to be able to apply some deterrent to Putin’s ambitions. The latest Normandy gathering was adjourned to late Wednesday with a new date for discussions to resume in two weeks– at least, that prevents an invasion all the time.

There is an expression that I first learned in Russian class in 1961, “an iron fist in a velvet glove.” Europe, led by the French, seems to be following the path that Biden should go: moderation and reflective, only with a taste of steel.

https://www.nbcnews.com/think/opinion/end-russia-ukraine-tensions-vladimir-putin-needs-way-save-face-ncna1288112 To end Russia-Ukraine tensions, Vladimir Putin needs a way to save face

Jake Nichol

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