This is who KenPom predicts will win every remaining conference tournament

Nearly a dozen more men’s conference tournaments kick off this week as more and more automated bids are put out for the upcoming NCAA Tournament.

With every tournament available for current futures bets WynnBET SportsbookWhat are the best ways to detect undervalued in this area?

Luckily, longtime college basketball data analyst Ken Pomeroy posted all of his predictions for the upcoming conference tourneys, breaking down each team by their projected chance of advancing in each round of the tournament.

Let’s look at them in relation to their posted futures odds and see if we can find some value across the board.

The top seeded Duke Blue Demons are overwhelmingly loved in the latest KenPom forecasts, accounting for 48.6%. Although the Blues started the tournament with -125 to win, their implied probability based on odds calculated by WynnBET was actually 55.56%, making their minus odds quite reasonable. .

The only other potential value game is that Notre Dame is entirely framework-based. The Irishman put +950 to win the ACC Tournament and will likely have to beat UNC, a team they beat this year to go on to face Duke.

Dayton was both a favorite across the board at WynnBET (+260) as well as at KenPom to cut the net in Washington DC

No real value currently exists, with bettors and predictors lining up surprisingly close together, even though Dayton’s implied probability of winning comes in at 40.82%, so there is Perhaps playing your favorite game is a good way to go.

Cougars, after losing to Memphis in the AAC Regular Season Finals -190 to win the AAC Tournament at WynnBET. Although their probability of winning is 65%, holding Houston at almost 1-2 is not a game of chance.

SMU at +800 actually fits KenPom’s predictions perfectly, and was even teased by BetSided’s Reed Wallach as a possible black horse out of AAC.

Baylor is actually ahead of KU on the odds table, with the Bears at +195 and the Jayhawks at +215. Kansas actually has the upper hand in predicting both a win in the Big 12, as well as a place in the championship run, but there’s nothing surprising about that.

Neither team was much ahead of their predictions, but Texas Tech with +350 odds could be a good value, especially if they face the 4th Texas team in the finals. The Red Raiders have beaten the Longhorns both times they’ve faced each other as Chris Beard lost 0-2 to his former team.

Another big favorite is across the board! Wildcats are +150 to win in the Big East, but have a 40% expected probability to win.

One team that needs attention is Marquette, who have seen their odds drop from +900 to +600 over the past few days. Golden Eagles to Win the Big East were discussed by Peter Dewey of BetSided on the latest episode of the “Bet & Breakfast” podcast.

Perhaps, the Big Ten offers the most diverse set of odds and predictions. At WynnBET, 3rd seed Purdue is the most popular with +200, followed by 1st Illinois (+365), 5 Iowa (+365) and Wisconsin (+975).

Earlier on Tuesday, our Iain MacMillan broke why is he supporting Illinois with so solid values ​​this week.

For a team that lost to 1st seed on the last day of the regular season, it’s great to see Wisconsin this low on the board. Then again, the stats weren’t in their favor for most of the season, and Johnny Davis carried the Badgers on his back all year. He might have to do it again if the Badgers cut the net in Indy.

Mountain West was a major topic of conversation during BetSided’s latest “best bets” roundtable about all the major conference tournaments this week, with Peter Dewey making his case for the Wyoming Cowboys in an open field.

It turns out the strengths agree, as Wyoming fell from +900 to +775 against WynnBET, with Boise State (+240), San Diego State (+320) and Colorado State (+340) all slightly ahead.

Don’t forget, Wyoming and UNLV played each other in a 4-5 on Thursday afternoon, and they happen to be playing the tournament this week at UNLV’s home ground, Thomas and Mack Center in Las Vegas, so the Cowboys are basically playing a line game on a “neutral” site.

It may not be an exciting pick, but Arizona has -135 favorites in Pac 12, which should get them through the championship game, perhaps the double-digit favorite for most. all their matches. Reed Wallach alluded to this schedule earlier on Tuesday

After UCLA with odds +255, the odds providers won’t let anyone else participate much. USC is third on the list with +1000, followed by Oregon at 18/1.

Personally, I think the Bruins are more than capable of beating the Wildcats, who are ranked 15th and 11th nationally in KenPom adjusted attack and defense this year. They will be my pick to come out of the Pac 12 with Arizona, all but guaranteed of a #1 seed.

It’s no surprise to see Kentucky (+185) as the preferred 3rd seed to win the SEC Tournament as the Wildcats have been in the top 3 odds at the National Championship for most of the season after Gonzaga. and Arizona.

Auburn, the top seed in the tourney hit +250, followed by Tennessee (+365) and Arkansas with +675.

The bookmakers give the Razorbacks a slightly higher implied probability of winning, just under 13% of KenPom’s prediction, and if they can beat Auburn for a second time this year, they certainly have. chances of getting into the championship game with the possibility of Kentucky or Tennessee. The Razorbacks have only lost two games since January 12, both by four points or less from Alabama and Tennessee.

Follow all of Ben Heisler Betting plays in real time HERE. This is who KenPom predicts will win every remaining conference tournament

John Verrall

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