The best college basketball bets for today, February 12

We went to over 100 other games on Saturday. Sometimes it’s hard to pick a side and find an advantage over a large portion of the game, but I’ve suggested a few that I’m playing on this mid-February card.

I played some games when the line was open on Saturday, and i recommend you check out my betstamp for all thosebut I also added on Saturday morning to get ready for wall-to-wall coverage.

With that, let’s start betting.

Odds provided by WynnBET Sportsbook

Column records: 57-46-3 (+8.7 units)

I know this position screams Alabama prices, but I think the Crimson Tide is still overvalued in the market and I’m going against it. Arkansas is about to have a big win over No. 1 Auburn earlier in the week and it might be a bit sleepy, but I’ll buy back Eric Musselman’s roster.

I make this game closer to -3.5. The final Crimson Tide is due to the active shooting regress, but so is Arkansas. Each team is shooting under 32% of the SEC’s game (Alabama is worse with 29%), but I trust the Razorbacks defense with JD Notae on the outside and Jaylin Williams inside to stop Tide’s offense .

Alabama takes three points (the second-highest three-point ratio in the SEC) and if they cool off again, they’ll have to grapple with a stout Hogs insider holding the opponent to the second-lowest two-point margin of the season. tournament game.

We saw the whole team collapse in the second half against Kentucky, scoring just 28 points in the final 20 minutes. Arkansas was also a strong defensive team, placing 25th in KenPom’s defensive performance index and has the best score in the SEC’s game.

I know the situation makes Bama scream, but I’d love for Arkansas to stay close and potentially win again.

PICK: Arkansas +5, play to +4.5

Looks like last place has fallen out of Noles, who dropped five games in a row and didn’t cover all of them, but I’ll beat them here against North Carolina.

For starters, the team has really done well as the underdog, covering four out of seven games, but they’re also up against Tar Heels well, which can match their length on Circumference and size down to attach the Big Armando Bacot of Tar Heels.

The Noles are still in the top 50 in ShotQuality’s Overall rating with balanced attack and defense profiles. The team couldn’t make much of a mistake in the conference game, coming in 14th for effective on-field goal ratio but I like the position where they get some regression on aggressive shooting and Heel match on fouls error because UNC doesn’t mandate any revenue (14th in percentage revenue).

I point to a slight numerical advantage and like the position for Leonard Hamilton’s crew to hover and cover a huge number.

PICK: Florida State +9, play to +8

The Iowa State Train withering continues, this time confronting Bruce Weber’s veteran spirited Wild Cats.

At this time, the offense in the half court of the State of Iowa is non-existent, ranking last in KenPom’s Offensive performance stat in the Big 12, and the team will have a hard time getting rid of the Kansas State team that plays best in the league in terms of turnover ratio and is fourth nationally in terms of possible points limit. occurred due to secessionist theft, each Halsemetrics.

Kansas State played slow, ranked third nationally in adjusted pacing, and was competitive on the road, including six of eight real road games. While this game might suck, I can’t trust the Cyclones to win with two possessions.

PICK: Kansas State +5

Before the season, I set the record and thought Michigan had the potential to win the Nationals. While it’s been a windy road for the Wolverines, we’re at least starting to see the flashes of a dark NCAA Tournament team. I could have fired, and this team might not have been a legitimate threat, but I believe Michigan’s 24-point win over Purdue at home is a sign of good things to come.

Some might worry about the possibility of a defeat against Ohio State on Saturday night, but I don’t count on the Buckeyes, who are 127th in KenPom’s adjusted defensive performance and are hitting the odds. second-highest mid-range shooter in the nation, according to Haslemetrics.

EJ Liddel could pose some problems for the Michigan defense, but the Wolverines are the driving force at home, 91-63-2 ATS since 2005 in the Big Ten game (h/t Stuckey from Action Network). Buckeyes have average defensive recovery and I believe Dickinson can go deep in once again.

This line suggests that Ohio State is better at a neutral tier, which I’m not so sure about. If the Buckeyes bounce from three, the second-placed team in the Big Ten plays with a three-point margin, all power on them, but Michigan’s defensive flaws emerge not from catch and shoot three.

Ohio State has won three road games all season against the bottom of the Big Ten: Penn State, Nebraska (in extra time) and Minnesota, I don’t see them getting a win over an opponent (at least) ) quality in rival Michigan .

PICK: Michigan -2, play to -3

My numbers are right here, but I like the Trojan’s situation on Saturday night against their city rivals.

USC had to make a late comeback against a lowly team in the Pacific on Tuesday night in a rescheduled non-conference game, but that’s a bit misleading. The team doesn’t have star striker Isaiah Mobley due to a broken nose, but he’s on track to play this game (remember to confirm before tip if you want).

I didn’t trust UCLA during the off-season and the Trojans played well against them. USC has one of the best internal defenses in the country with their massive forecourt, ranking fifth for the rate of field goals allowed at the perimeter and fourth for the overall two-point ratio.

The Bruins are 60th in the country by three points and prefer to use point guard Tyger Campbell to get in and make the likes of Johnny Juzang and Jules Bernard. However, team length would overwhelm Campbell’s 5’11” and wipe the glass ahead of the UCLA team that ranked 10th in offensive bounce rate in the PAC-12 game.

The Trojans are good, but haven’t really proven themselves yet, having won two games against KenPom’s top 50 teams this season. The team has a lot of talent and size and I expect we’ll see a big push against a highly ranked opponent on Saturday night, who they’ve also beaten five of their six close encounters. here most.

ENTER: USC +2, play to ML +110

All of Reed’s college basketball plays can be watched hereHis best bet for college basketball is 57-46-3 for +8.7 units. The best college basketball bets for today, February 12

John Verrall

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