The Wyoming Cowboys put their mark on their undefeated 13-0 streak tonight when they face the San Diego State Aztecs at 9 p.m. ET Monday.
Both teams have won at home after close defeats before. San Diego State won 5 games in a row before losing 1 point to Boise State, while Wyoming won 6 games in a row before losing 2 of their last 4 away from home.
This will be only the second time in a year Wyoming has been beaten at home, against disparity in that game. Can they do it again tonight?
Here are the latest odds at WynnBET Sportsbook:
I reviewed this selection in detail in today’s episode of “Bet and Breakfast” which you can see below along with our “best bets” of the day.
In the end, this looks like a trap from the odds providers at WynnBET.
Wyoming has the better record, higher rankings in the conference game, they are unbeaten at home, and on the national television stage in a big game in Laramie, they are a short house dog.
So what for?
San Diego State is number 1 KenPom adjusted the team’s defensive effectiveness not only in Mountain West, but in all of college basketball this season. They dropped more than 70 points twice this year. That’s it! Twice.
Wyoming has had a great season and their attack is one of the most effective in the country; top 31 in KenPom adjusted for attack efficiency. But the problem I see for a team like San Diego State is their slow pace. If the Cowboys like to go up and down the court, forcing the San Diego State into a forward defense all night, I’ll bet on Wyoming with this line. But because the Cowboys rank at 300 with average possession and pace in the mid-270s, this puts right into San Diego State for a defensive setup, and takes away effective and open shots from Wyoming.
I initially grabbed this line at -1, but I bet it goes up to -2.
PICK: San Diego State -1.5 (-110)
Follow all of Ben Heisler Betting plays in real time HERE.
https://fansided.com/betsided/posts/san-diego-state-vs-wyoming-prediction-and-odds-don-t-take-the-bait-with-the-cowboys?utm_source=RSS San Diego State vs. Wyoming Predictions and Odds (Don’t rob the Cowboys)