Predictions and Odds between Santa Clara vs. Saint Mary for West Coast Conference Semifinals

One of the best games of the day comes in the West Coast Conference Semifinals as the Santa Clara Broncos 21-10 take on Saint Mary’s Gaels 24-5 at 8:30 p.m. PST.

The Broncos have covered the spread for three in a row with their offensive behavior seemingly dominant. They have scored 89 points or more in three consecutive games and are hoping for a similar result to a 77-72 win over Saint Mary’s in February.

Meanwhile, The Gaels also have a win over Santa Clara this year, albeit in January, and have won four games in a row, including a big win over Gonzaga in their last outing.

Where does the value lie in a closely competitive game with a trip to the congress final on the line?

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If the country hasn’t caught up with how talented Saint Mary’s is, everyone should know by now. A double-digit win over Gonzaga does wonders for a team’s reputation, and Gaels’ defense is no laughing matter.

Saint Mary’s ranks in the 97th percentile in defensive ratings for the year thanks to the 99th percentile in steal ratings. The Gaels force rotates at a frenzied speed and prevents the offense from becoming comfortable. But their offense leaves nothing to be desired, only placing 11th in their last five games as their ADCs have cooled.

Santa Clara is essentially the inverse of the Gaels, with a 99th percentile rating in offensive ratings for their last five but a 16th percentile rating in defensive ratings in that same timeframe. The Broncos don’t have to turn around and are a team with tremendous offensive resilience, meaning they’ll need to hit them the first time or else they won’t hit them.

With their fiery offensive behavior, the Broncos have been a great underdog bookie. They have gone through four of their last five games as underdogs and won two of those games, including one against Saint Mary’s.

I think we might have a kill for Gaels after such an unbelievable win over Gonzaga. They likely won tickets to the NCAA Tournament while Santa Clara needs to win this tournament to cement their place. Give me the Broncos to keep it close.

Pick: Santa Clara +4.5 (-110)

Follow all of Joe Summers’ betting selections this. Predictions and Odds between Santa Clara vs. Saint Mary for West Coast Conference Semifinals

John Verrall

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