Happy Monday, everyone! It’s Tyler Sullivan here and I’ll be your gambling expert as we start the week. If I’m sounding a little disheartened, it’s largely because my fantasy team has completed one of the more amazing end-of-season crashes these guys have ever seen. This is the 10th season of a league with all my childhood friends and now my championship drought – I haven’t won since 2014 – will continue for at least a year. again.
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Anyway, let’s not let that distract us from what is set to be a great Monday night football game between Patriots and Receipt. After Sunday’s action took place in NFL, New England considered themselves the number 1 seed in the tournament, but could fall to the 5th seed with a loss to Buffalo. Weather is supposed to be an important factor in this game, so it is definitely shaped to see the appointment.
We’ll dive into that game, of course, but first let’s see what’s making headlines across the sports world.
Now let’s try and earn some cash!
All Eastern Times, and all odds through Caesars Sportsbook
🔥 Hot ticket
🏈Patriots vs. Bills, 8:15 p.m. | TV: ESPN
Select: Patriot +3 (-120) – Would love to get a goal here, but New England could very well win this game outright. Not only have the Patriots won their last six games, but they’ve included every game in this series. A big part of why New England have performed so well for most of this streak is their ability to run away from games in the second half.
Over the past four weeks, the Patriots have beaten their opponents 63-0 in the last two quarters. That will be put to the test when they face the Bills who are averaging 15.6 points in the second half per game (second best in the NFL). However, New England still copes well with Josh Allen.
It doesn’t need to be too technical, but the Patriots could choose to deploy Cover-3 against Allen on Monday. They’ve lined up at Cover-3 38% of the time this season (eighth-highest in the NFL), and Allen hasn’t fought that kind of defense too well. Of the 34 quarterbacks that qualify, Allen ranks 15th in yards per attempt and 14th in free throw ratio to Cover-3. It was simply a small goal in favor of New England tonight.
Main trend: The Patriots are the team with a 4-1 ATS vs.
🏈 More MNF options
Selection: Dawson Knox Over 29.5 yards received (+105) – Good value here with Patriots may not be safe Kyle Dugger due to COVID protocols. He will be the best equipped to take on Knox, so there is a lane for him to find success against New England’s second team. He has surpassed this number in six of his nine games this season and has played well in three of his career games with the Patriots. During that period, he averaged 47.3 yards per game.
Selection: Kendrick Bourne Over 2.5 yards receive (-170) – Not a ton of juice here, but that number seems a bit too low to ignore. Bourne became one of the Mac Jones‘go to weapons in the past game and have surpassed this number in six games in a row going on Monday night. Weather is most likely to affect the passing game in this split, but Jones will be forced to throw in at some point, won’t he? When he did, he would often not look in Bourne’s direction. Meanwhile, it also helps Buffalo not to be starved Bamboo’s white skin.
Spurs vs. Suns, 9 p.m. | TV: NBA League Pass
Pick: Chris Paul scores a brace (+105) – Phoenix won’t have Devin Booker (hamstring) again tonight, which leaves Paul with even more responsibility on his shoulders. In the two games Booker has missed, Paul has averaged a brace, which certainly tends to favor the prop. With the Suns and Spurs both in the top 10 in the NBA in possession per game, it could very well be a high-paced game that multiplies Paul’s chances.
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/patriots-vs-bills-is-a-matchup-of-teams-that-play-better-late-in-games-plus-best-bets-for-monday/ Patriots vs. Bills is the match between the better performing teams at the end of the game, plus the best bets for Monday