The New England Patriots and Indianapolis Colts are gearing up for a rare Saturday night game on deck for Week 15. Both of these teams are about to say goodbye and both enter the playoff race in the AFC. As for the Patriots, they are the #1 seed in the convention, while Indy is rated the #6 seed. With razor-thin margins in the convention, a win here could go a long way. to secure their spot in the knockout round.
Below, we will specifically take a look at the different bets that this match has available to us. We’ll take a look at how the lines have moved during the week leading up to Saturday night and, of course, give you our picks for this game along with some of our favorite player props. we.
All NFL Odds through Caesars Sportsbook.
How to watch
Indianapolis Colts -2.5
New England opened up as the 1-point favorite in this head-to-head, but that advantage quickly disappeared as the match drew closer. Last Sunday, it switched to pick’em before it turned completely in the direction of the Colts, the 2-point favorite on Monday morning. That spread went on throughout the week.
Selection: Patriotism +2. The Patriots not only came into this game with a seven-game win, but they entered all of them. The Colts will be a tough challenge, however, as they unleash the running stars Jonathan Taylor. Stopping the run is a New England weakness, but historically, Bill Belichick has been able to deprive an opponent of their best weapon when attacking. If he did that to Taylor, it’s hard to imagine that Carson Wentz will be able to lead the Colts to victory. Indy also does not have a good record at home with a difference of 3-7 ATS in the last 10 matches at Lucas Oil Stadium.
Main trend: The Patriots are 6-1 ATS after a week of bye.
Over / Below total
Total openings were 43.5 but have increased quite a bit since this week. It rose to 44 on Sunday night and then continued to rise at the start of the week and has since risen to 45.5.
Selection: Under 45.5. Both of these teams use football to run football. If they could move the ball efficiently on the ground, that would have already lowered the scoring ceiling for this game. The Patriots are also one of the best teams in the NFL at keeping opponents out of the final zone. Once their opponents were in the red zone, New England only allowed them to score in 25% of their away trips in the last three games (best in the NFL).
Main trend: Below is 8-2 in the last 10 Patriots’ last 10 road games.
- Passing to the ground: 1.5 (Over +110, Below -140)
- Passing the pitch: 226.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
- Interceptor: 0.5 (Above -120, Under -110)
- Complete: 20.5 (Over -125, Below -105)
- Completed longest pass: 34.5 (Over -110, Under 120)
I lean to Under on Jones’ pass of 226.5 with an even amount. While he will probably throw more than just three times as he did with Bill in Week 13, Jones was not asked to take it down a series in this winning streak. Even if you exclude Week 13, he’s only surpassed this total twice in six games. Jones is also 24th out of 32 qualifying quarterbacks compared to this season’s coverage. The Colts have lined up in the area on 72% of their defense this season, which is the eighth-highest percentage in the NFL.
Carson Wentz props
- Passing to the ground: 1.5 (Over +130, Below -160)
- Passing the pitch: 226.5 (Over -115, Under 115)
- Interceptor: 0.5 (Above -110, Under -120)
- Completed longest pass: 34.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
- Quick plunge: 9.5 (Over -125, Below -105)
Value isn’t great at -160, but hitting under 1.5 for Wentz is a solid play. As we noted above, the Patriots have been great at keeping teams out of the final zone. This season, New England has conceded the third fewest goals in the NFL (15).
The props players need to consider
Hunter Henry total number of receiving yards: Over 25.5 (-120). Henry has become one of Jones’ essential weapons and has a solid match in front of him against the Colts. This season, Indy is letting the opponent finish for an average of 67.2 yards per game.
TY Hilton Total yards received: Under 29.5 (-115). The number is too low compared to what we’ve seen from Hilton this season. He’s only surpassed this total once (Week 6 vs Houston) and has floated about 50% of the attacks in his games this season. One catch could burn us down here, so proceed with caution, but there’s not much Hilton shows he’ll come through here.
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/patriots-at-colts-predictions-point-spread-total-player-props-tv-streaming-for-rare-saturday-matchup/ Patriots at Colts Prediction: Score differential, total score, player props, TV, streaming for rare Saturday game