We have an NFC North confrontation between Packers and Bear that will contribute to Sunday’s action in NFL. Green Bay is looking to catch the NFC playoff picture as it aims to earn the top seed in the conference. A win could also go a long way in helping the Packers land a playoff spot as early as Week 14. Meanwhile, the Bears will get a rookie feel. Justin Fields returned to central defender after the first-year midfielder missed the past two games due to a rib injury.
Below, we will specifically take a look at the different bets that this match has available to us. We’ll take a look at how the lines have moved during the week leading up to Sunday night and, of course, give you our picks for this game along with some of our favorite player props. we.
All NFL Odds through Caesars Sportsbook.
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Green Bay Packers -11.5
The early look at the line had the Packers favorite and 11 points in this division’s head-to-head and that’s grown dramatically since then. After Week 13, the spread rose two points to -13, but has since fallen to -12.5 on Friday. The midweek half-point drop could be a response to news that Fields will begin arriving in Chicago.
Selection: Packing machine -12.5. This is a big number, but the Packers have shown the ability to roll against lousy teams. Green Bay is 9-3 ATS on the season, drawn with the NFL’s best 5-0 ATS at home, and Aaron Rodgers in fact, have owned these Bears throughout my career. The Packers QB went 21-5 of his career against Chicago and threw more touches (57) in front of them than any other opponent. We also don’t know how healthy Fields is at the moment, which could well be a major factor in Green Bay coverage. The Bears are also 0-4 (SU and ATS) in their last four games on “Sunday Night Football”.
Main trend: The Packers are the 4-0 ATS favorites at home this season.
Over / Below total
The total opened at 45, but has since dropped to 44.5 in Week 13. Since then, it’s dropped to 43 on Friday afternoon.
Selection: Under 43 years old. In theory, while the home team is an explosive threat on paper, the Under is 8-4 for them this season. That’s the same mark as Chicago for the year, which also have a 4-2 record ahead of Lambeau. The Bears are averaging just 16.8 points per game this season (the third-worst in the NFL) and are facing a Packers defense that has been able to keep teams beyond the final zone at home. . This season, Green Bay has the best NFL-allowed red zone scoring percentage at home at 40%.
Main trend: Below are 5-1 of the last six Packers favorites.
Props Aaron Rodgers
- Passing to the ground: 1.5 (Over -210, Below +170)
- Passing the pitch: 259.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
- Interceptor: 0.5 (Above +180, Under -220)
- Complete: 23.5 (Above -130, Under +100)
- Attempts to overcome: 34.5 (Over +100, Below -130)
- Completed longest pass: 36.5 (Over -120, Under -110)
Over of Rodgers’ multi-toucher is likely to hit the ball (he has nine touchdown games this season), but the value isn’t there at -210. That said, his on-field backing score of 259.5 is intriguing. Rodgers is averaging 275.2 passes per home game this season. Chicago is also 22nd in the NFL over overtaking in DVOA.
Justin Fields’ props
- Passing to the ground: 0.5 (Over -200, Below +165)
- Passing the pitch: 188.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
- Interceptor: 0.5 (Above -200, Under +165)
- Complete: 16.5 (Above -115, Under -115)
- Attempts to overcome: 29.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
- Completed longest pass: 32.5 (Over -120, Under -110)
- Quick plunge: 33.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
I rely on Under on Fields’ pass attempts to assist at 29.5 (-115). He has only surpassed this number once this season and has averaged 22.9 passes per game in his eight appearances. Meanwhile, in the five games before he was absent through injury, Fields averaged 50.4 yards of charge per game, much higher than the 33.5 points he had on Sunday night.
The props players need to consider
Aaron Jones total score received: Over 23.5 (-115). Jones could be one of the beneficiaries of the Packers’ loss Randall Cobb in the passing game. Although last time he wasn’t a factor as the recipient of the match with Rams, Jones is still trying to come back from injury. With a bye week, he should return to his typical role outside of the backyard to be able to surpass this figure for a sixth time this season.
David Montgomery total number of rush attempts: Over 14.5 (-130). Montgomery is arguably the Bears’ best player, so they should be looking to put the ball in his hand as much as possible in a game where they need to move the ball efficiently. He has also surpassed this number in two consecutive games and in five of his eight games during the season.
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/packers-vs-bears-predictions-point-spread-total-player-props-stream-for-sunday-night-football/ Packers predictions vs. Bears: Point difference, totals, player bonus points, stream for ‘Sunday Night Football’