Auteurs often have the creative advantage of receiving Academy credit for their vision.
Academy voters give creators extra points to control their visibility; that gives the auteurs an edge in the race for Best Original Screenplay.
Getting a boost in 2021 is any film that opens to a real, live audience at a film festival like Cannes. Writers branch voters often look for their candidates abroad. Auteur Joachim Trier (and writer Eskil Vogt) unexpectedly received a nomination for the Norwegian International Feature Film nomination “The World’s Ugliest Man”, a coming-of-age drama starring the actress. Cannes best actor, Renate Reinsve, the film competes with a high-powered group of Best Picture nominees.
During the pandemic Kenneth Branagh wrote and filmed a personal story, “Belfast(Focus Features) scored an audience award at the Toronto International Film Festival, often indicative of a Best Picture nominee. Set in 1969, the film stars Jude Hill as nine-year-old Branagh and veteran contenders Dame Judi Dench and Ciaran Hinds as his grandparents. “Belfast” could finally win an Oscar for Branagh. He’s long overdue, with three “Belfast” nods (for production, directing and writing) added to his previous five nominations: directing and acting in “Henry V”, acting in “Henry V” My Week with Marilyn”, adapted “Hamlet” and directed the short song “Swan Song.”
Another auteur, Paul Thomas Anderson, is overdue; This year, he adds three nominations to his previous eight nominations for producing, writing, and directing. He could take home the win for “Licorice Pizza,” an elegant, laid-back ’70s comedy about the strong bond between a teenage startup (discover Cooper Hoffman) and an older woman (LA musician Alana Haim), complete with delightful shots of Bradley Cooper as producer Jon Peters and Sean Penn in a William Holden-inspired role.
Also attracting audiences on Netflix is screenwriter Adam McKay’s dead serious apocalypse satire “Don’t Look Up” (story by David Sirota), which boasts a hugely entertaining star cast. population. This year McKay has two more nominations (Image and Screenplay) for a total of seven nominations (for writing, directing, and producing).
Featured at the fall festivals is the sports biopic.”King RichardWritten by tennis enthusiast and first-time nominee Zach Baylin, the true story of Richard Williams (Will Smith) of Compton, who raised daughters Venus and Serena (Saniyya Sidney and Williams). Demi Singleton) became a superstar.
The nominees are listed in order of their likelihood of winning.
Paul Thomas Anderson (“Licorice Pizza”)
Kenneth Branagh (“Belfast”)
Adam McKay and David Sirota (“Don’t Look Up”)
Zach Baylin (“King Richard”)
Joachim Trier (“World’s Ugliest Man”)
https://www.indiewire.com/2022/02/oscars-2022-best-original-screenplay-predictions-1234675613/ Oscars 2022: Best Original Screenplay Predictions