It is important to figure out the value for the DFS lines. It’s also important to find value with a reasonable comeback, especially for tournaments. This article delves into the cheap players in Awesemo NFL DFS . Forecast has the best point-per-dollar rating. Use these guess, here are the NFL DFS Week 15 top picks for the DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.
Best low price NFL DFS value pick for Week 15
Quadruple FanDuel Value: Jalen Hurts – $7,800
This violates the “undervalued” spirit of this work with the Hasty selection. However, he is the top value in Awesemo’s prediction for Week 15 on FanDuel. He’s also considerably cheaper than pick #2, Josh Allen. Hurts have been an incredibly valuable fantasy asset this season and since being a starter for the Eagles in general. He has scored at least 20 FanDuel points in 9/12 games this season, 1 more than Allen (in 13 games).
This week, things are going well against Washington. This is also the first meeting between the teams, so there is nothing to worry about the tendency of scoring to decrease in the second meetings of the teams. The Eagles have an implied team total of 26, which is the top five on the leaderboard. In addition, Washington’s defenses are very solid against the flight, ranking seventh in DVOA (compared to 27th compared to fleeing). That means most of Philadelphia’s goals have come from Hurts.
Hurts is also just $400 more on FanDuel compared to Tagovailoa (see below), it was a small price to pay for his stormy ascent. Hurts has eight pounding touches during the season, and no other midfielder has more than six. He’s not pretty undervalued this week, but he’s certainly worth it.
DraftKings Value Quarter: Tua Tagovailoa – $5,700
As mentioned above, the salary on Tagovailoa and Hurts is close to that of FanDuel. However, Tagovailoa is $900 cheaper on DraftKings. That extra savings makes him the most valuable game of all Awesemo’s prediction on DraftKings.
Tagovailoa has an undeniably great game against the struggling Jets. The jet defense ranks last in the NFL across most categories. The only thing that has stopped the quarterback’s massive scores against them is the sheer number of matches they’ve been in. Most of the Jets’ opponents were able to take a comfortable lead in the latter part of the game.
Fortunately, that’s not a big concern about Tagovailoa’s salary. He doesn’t need a massive score to be a good value this week, just a solid score. That’s no problem for the Dolphins with more than 25 points at home.
FanDuel Rerun Value: Ezekiel Elliott – $6,700
Elliott hasn’t been the most comfortable in matches because of how he has been attacked and his (probable) return Tony Pollard into the Cowboys squad. However, the price is right. He just follows the trail James Robinson in Awesemo’s prediction for value in Week 15.
Elliott has been down on volume lately, with his usual carry falling around 10 to 12. However, he made up for it in the overtaking game. He’s handled nearly six goals per game since thanksgiving.
Of course, the real attraction for Elliott was the match with the Giants. He has dominated opponents historically, with this year being no different. Elliott ran 110 yards and scored two goals in the first meeting. There is no reason to expect anything different this time. The Giants defender situation was a mess, increasing the odds that the Cowboys would play with the lead and keep the ball on the ground. At least, that’s what the bookmakers think. Dallas is the favorite with 10.5 points and Elliott has at least 19 FanDuel points in every Cowboys win over 10 this season.
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DraftKings Value Rerun: James Robinson – $5,400
Finally, without the former Urban Meyer coach, Robinson is in the perfect spot this week. For whatever reason, Meyer is determined to pursue Robinson in the long run at a time in favor of the nasty (and – perhaps important – former Buckeye) veteran. Carlos Hyde. That is unlikely as caretaker coach Darrell Bevell is looking to turn the tide for Jaguar. Robinson is the more talented player by far, so should hit the most active.
Luckily, Meyer’s firing went well after DraftKings’ Week 15 pay was announced, so Robinson is still closing in on a deal. He costs just $5,400 despite being a solid favorite (5 points) against a 28th-ranked defense in the league. This is the perfect spot for Bevell to make its trademark power run game. Robinson is far from being the best rerun value in Awesemo’s prediction about DraftKings in Week 15.
FanDuel Value Wide Receiver: Sterling Shepard – $5,600
Other than DeVante Parker, Shepard is the strongest value in Awesemo’s prediction with a salary of less than $6,800 this week. Besides maintaining a low valuation, Shepard is also a competitor that has a solid correlation to Elliott. Game scenarios in favor of Elliott (Big Cowboy in the lead) also favor Shepard as the Giants will chase points and throw more balls.
The Giants attack was of course a mess. Still, Shepard was one of the few bright spots while still healthy. In games where he didn’t leave the field early because of injury, Shepard averaged nine goals and seven catches per game. There is some increased risk with Mike Glennon play midfield, but Glennon will have to pitch the ball to someone. Parker is definitely the better player in a vacuum, but Shepard makes a lot of sense here, especially when paired with Elliott.
DraftKings Value Recipient: DeVante Parker – $4,300
For many reasons to like Tagovailoa, Parker is a strong player. Assuming Parker is (and remains) healthy, he should be up against the Jets’ defense. He is averaging eight goals a game when active. He also scored at least 9.2 DraftKings points in every game against Tagovailoa. That 9.2 point performance is against the best defense in the league (Buffalo). In every non-Bills game, he had double digits.
While the volume may be in the lower range than expected, Parker can still get it done here. Given his salary, he only needs two or three deep connections to smash. That’s a lot more likely than usual against the Jets’ defense. Correlation with Tagovailoa is also a solid driver for tournaments. Parker is the top receiving value in Awesemo’s prediction on DraftKings.
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