The Mississippi Mastiffs returned home from a two-game trip when they hosted the Missouri Tigers to Starkville as double-digit favorites.
After a 4-2 start in the SEC, it’s been tough for the Bulldogs as they’ve only gone 1-5 since; hope to break a four-game losing streak in the process.
Meanwhile, the Tigers have had two of four conference wins in their last four, but have lost 19 of their 24 games this season; go 9-10 against the spread.
These two teams will also play again on Sunday when they swap positions and head to Columbia.
Here are the latest odds for Round 1 at WynnBET Sportsbook.
Even with the big spread and four-loss streak, I like the Bulldogs going through it tonight and out in the heat against the Tigers for 11 points.
Bulldogs, despite losing lane, have won their last two games, fighting to the end against LSU, No. 2 has been adjusted KenPom effective defensive team in the country and a very good Alabama team played with the toughest schedule in the country.
The Bulldogs are one of the top 30 effective offensive teams in college basketball, ranking 29th in the latest KenPom indexes. That’s not always the easiest thing to do when you’re at 280 with a three-point percentage, but they make up for that with smart shots near the basketball that shoot just under 53% of the line. They also get plenty of counter-attacks, make up for missed outside shots, and add assets.
The Tigers are one of the worst three-pointers in all of college basketball, placing in the bottom 12 of the league at 28.6% per game. They tackle more than 21 times a game and fail to execute smart shots with an effective goal-scoring rate of 47.5%.
The Tigers under Cuonzo Martin are supposed to be an improved defensive unit, but they’re far behind in college basketball. If they can’t defend and can’t make shots, the Bulldogs should kick them out of the practice room before half-time. 11 points is a big number to hit in the conference, but this game doesn’t bode well for Mizzou and I like the Bulldogs shielding comfortably.
PICK: Mississippi State (-11)
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https://fansided.com/betsided/posts/missouri-vs-mississippi-state-prediction-and-odds-back-bulldogs-to-snap-their-4-game-skid?utm_source=RSS Missouri State vs. Predictions and Odds. Mississippi (Bulldogs come back to catch their 4 game skaters)