The NBA is the best basketball competition on the planet and, therefore, all the bookmakers offer you the possibility of betting on all the games, which we can enjoy every day.
In this case, we will focus on the strategy for over/under NBA betting, by which we try to estimate how many points will be scored.
Let’s now see a series of tips or advice you should consider when betting on the Over/Under in an NBA forecast.
The Scoring History Of Both Teams: When betting on the OVER/UNDER in an NBA game, it is essential to analyze the last games of each team, especially in the scoring aspect. In this case, we are not only referring to the average number of points scored but also conceded, that is, whether the last games of a certain team have been very or very low scorers.
The Points in the H2H: It is just as important to know the scoring trajectory of the two teams as the one present in the H2H of the said match; that is, what scoring figures are usually given more frequently when two certain teams face each other. In this case, they may or may not coincide with their respective general dynamics. Therefore, it is a key factor to take into account.
The Presence of Key Players: Basketball, and more specifically the NBA, is a sport in which individual performances end up being decisive, especially regarding the scoring aspect, since it is pretty common for the most influential teams to have one or two players who are responsible for half of the points a team can score in a game.
In this way, knowing if this type of player may or may not be available for a match is essential to try to predict how many points will be scored in the match.
Do Not Forget: It is necessary to remember that some bookmakers usually consider the score in overtime for the final OVER/UNDER market; therefore, it is advisable to consider this beforehand to avoid unpleasant surprises.
On the other hand, unlike football, the team that appears first in an NBA game in most bookmakers is usually the visitor.
As it happens in any sport, the statistical analysis of competition will provide you with extra valuable information that can help you base better forecasts since you will have information at hand that most users usually ignore, and there you will have an advantage.
Basketball statistics usually come in numerical data that we must interpret to apply them when making a forecast.
In this case, through the NBA statistics, we can try to find out certain patterns in the teams:
- If a team usually wins many times when they start as favourites.
- If he usually comes back from games or is one who almost always takes the initiative on the scoreboard.
- If a team scores more from the zone (stronger inside the game) or the triple (stronger outside game) and what kind of game he defends better.
These are just a few examples of the information that we can extract from good statistical analysis.
Betting basketball over/under in the NBA can be very profitable, but you need to be aware that the odds move considerably. One reason that the NBA Overs/Unders odds move a great deal is because of various factors like team news and bet market condition. It is not unheard of for an NBA total to move 5 or 6 points.
Also, applying statistical knowledge to betting on Overs/Unders in basketball is vital to success.