GOP detection analysis in much better shape before midterms

A new analysis released Monday contains more bad news for the Democratic Party heading into the fall election.

Political Report senior editor David Wasserman told NBC News that Republicans are willing to retake the House for a number of reasons.

“Based on all factors, you have to consider the Republicans to be the first favorites of the House majority in 2022.” Wasserman said.

“But as we found out in 2020, the unexpected can happen and it’s not a done deal,” he added. “The Democrats’ best hope is that Biden’s approval rating remains above 50 percent and that Republicans will have a harder time pitching their voters without Trump on the ballot.”

However, Biden’s approval rating has been between the ages of 30 and 40 for months.

The conservative summary adds:

Earlier this year, a top Democrat in the House warned that Republicans were in a key position to win back the House in next year’s midterm elections.

Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Sean Patrick, who serves as a congressman from New York, says Democrats will lose their majority in the House if the midterm elections are held. held today.

Tim Persico, executive director of the Maloney-led DCCC, shared data with incumbents showing that some House Democrats are at risk of losing their seats to Republican challengers. .

“We are not afraid of this data… We are not trying to hide this,” Persico told Politico. “If [Democrats] using it, we will hold the House. That’s what this data tells us, but we have to act. ”

“The point is, to make sure we’re all on the same page, that we understand the stakes. Here’s the good news: Everything we’re doing and everything we’ve talked about is incredibly popular,” he added.

Republicans need only 5 net seats to regain control of the House. And in the Senate, just flipping a seat puts the GOP in control. GOP detection analysis in much better shape before midterms

Jake Nichol

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