Expert Predictions for Week 12 NFL – The Athletic

It’s rare to see Aaron Rodgers play the way he did in Minnesota last week and still lose. The Packers fell 34-31 to the Vikings as a last-second goal was enough to eclipse the defending MVP’s 385-yard, four-touchdown day. Green Bay stretched to 13 points before taking the lead in the fourth quarter. After the Packers and Vikings exchanged points to tie the game, Minnesota used the remaining meter to drive down the field for the winning kick. Packers offense is administered without Aaron Jones, as Rodgers had his best performance of the season. But Green Bay’s defenses were off. With Jare Alexander remains out, no defenses available to stop Justin Jefferson (169 yards received, two touches) and the Packers allowed a season-high 318 passing yards. Green Bay still open as 1-point favorites this week, with a perfect 5-0 score of the year.

But if Green Bay’s defense continues to struggle, it will be a much-needed period of time for the Rams. Los Angeles dropped head-to-head games after saying goodbye to their two worst offensive performances this season. Most recently, it was a 31-10 loss at the 49ers. Matthew Stafford has the second most game in a row when fouling not to the top 300 yards. In both games, Los Angeles had to play from behind because of the split. Some early Sunday drive could indicate how this will turn out. The Rams are on 4-1 if you find the choice uncomfortable. Be warned; they are only 1-4 compared to the spread in those games.

Odds, Over/Under, Money Flow

Team Transmitted Total Cash flow





All odds from BetMGM. Odds are updated at 1 a.m. ET on Sunday. Click here for live odds.

Betting Trends

  • The Rams are 4-1 ATS against a top 10 defense in their last 5 games
  • Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Over is 1-4-1 in Rams games in their last 6 games
  • The Packers are 11-0 ATS after losing their last 11 games
  • The Packers are 9-0 at home in their last 9 games
  • The Packers are 6-0 ATS against the Rams in their last 6 games
  • The Packers are 5-0 ATS at home in their last 5 games
  • The Packers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games
  • Over is 1-7 in Packers games in their last 8 games


Click here to learn more about The Athletic’s FREE betting contest with BetPrep.

Storyline for Rams-Packers

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Expert’s Choice

Writer Get straight

Mark Kaboly

Tashan Reed

Chris Burke

Michael Shawn Dugar

Jay Morrison

Katherine Terrell

Nick Kosmider

Ben Standig

Bob Sturm

Another expert’s pick

(Cooper Kupp photo: Carmen Mandato / Getty Images; Athletic may receive affiliate commissions if you open an account with BetMGM through the links included in the article above)

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John Verrall

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