Creighton vs. odds and predictions. San Diego State for Round 1 of the NCAA Men’s Tournament

Creighton earned a spot in the Big East Conference Championship, but lost the final game to Villanova.

The Bluejays had a trade-off in the NCAA Tournament, and the committee awarded them a 9th seed in the Midwest Conference. They will face No. 8 San Diego State in the first round, with the winner likely to face No. 1 Kansas in round 32.

SDSU also lost in the final of its conference tournament, to Boise State with a final score of 53-52 in the Mountain West Championship Game.

The following is odds via WynnBET for this first round match, as well as some of my analysis, trends and predictions for the game.


Cash flow:



State of San Diego

Last Year’s Tournament Results: Round 64 (Loss to Syracuse)

Odds to win the National Championship: +15000

This is the worst game of all time for Creighton and I will be shocked if they find a way to win this one. They have two glaring holes that have been holding them back all season, and they will cost the Bluejays in this game.

They entered the league ranked 304 in the country in terms of transfer-per-own ratio, accounting for 20% of their possession. They now face a San Diego State team that is arguably the best defensive team in all of college basketball. It ranks first in defensive effectiveness, and 29th in terms of opponent’s passes per possession.

The other glaring weakness is their triple-shot ability. The Bluejays ranked 314th in goal percentage in the 3-point field, taking their shots from outside the arc with a rate of just 30.7%. Unfortunately, that seemed to be the only way for the Aztecs, who boasted one of the best internal defenses in the country.

This is a nightmare situation for Creighton.

Select: San Diego State -2.5

Check out Iain’s details College basketball betting record in 2022 is here.

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John Verrall

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