Chiefs vs. Bengals Odds, Start Time, Prediction: 2023 AFC Championship Game Picks by the NFL Expert Who is 29-16

One of the NFL’s budding rivalries is renewed Sunday when the Kansas City Chiefs host the Cincinnati Bengals in the 2023 AFC Championship Game for the second straight season. The Chiefs are hosting the AFC Championship Game for the fifth consecutive season and have split the last four games. The rising Bengals have won three straight meetings with Kansas City, including a 27-24 away win in overtime in last season’s AFC title game. The winner plays either the Eagles or the 49ers in the 2023 Super Bowl.

Kick-off is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs are 1.5 point favorites in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Chiefs vs. Bengals odds, and the over/under for total points scored is 48. Before deciding on Bengals vs. Chiefs, be sure to check out the View NFL Predictions and Betting Advice from SportsLine Senior Analyst Larry Hartstein.

A former head writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. He entered the 2022 NFL season with 427-344 all-time NFL sidepicks (up $3,764 for $100 players), including 394-330 against the spread. Hartstein posted 68-50 ATS and 8-3 on money line games last season for a $1,552 win.

Additionally, Hartstein is 29-16 on his last 45 anti-spread picks with either the Bengals or Chiefs, meaning he’s uniquely qualified for this pick. Anyone who has followed it consistently has seen massive returns.

Now Hartstein has his sights set on Bengals vs. Chiefs in the 2023 AFC Championship Game from every angle and revealed his tips and predictions from NFL experts. You can now go to SportsLine to see his selection. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Bengals vs. Chiefs:

• Scoring Bengals vs. Chiefs: Chiefs -1.5
• Bengals vs. Chiefs over/under: 48 points
• Moneyline Bengals vs. Chiefs: Bengals +100, Chiefs -120
• CIN: Bengals have gone 5-1-1 against the spread in their last seven postseason games
• KC: The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five matches in this rivalry
• Bengals vs. Chiefs pick: See picks here

Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Why the Bengals can cover

In last week’s win over Buffalo, the Bengals saw their stormy attack create an offensive balance for the first time in several weeks. The Bengals ran early enough just enough times to keep the Buffalo defense honest and repeatedly used power run play in the fourth quarter to score first downs and deny the Bills multiple possessions they might have for one late rally needed.

Cincinnati rushed for 172 yards for the first time since their Week 14 win over the Cleveland Browns, surpassing 100 yards on the ground. Running back Joe Mixon seemed to pick up momentum as the game progressed. He finished with a touchdown for 105 yards on 20 carries, and his 5.3 yards per carry was the third-highest in playoff franchise history. After that, he received a cue ball and handed it to the retooled offensive line, which paved the way. See which team you should pick here.

Why the Chiefs can cover

A clear motivating factor for the Chiefs is their ability to exact revenge on the Bengals and avoid a potential repeat of last year’s AFC Championship game performance. Several players told the media this week that they were determined not to pass up this opportunity. Last year it looked like they were about to make their third straight Super Bowl appearance. Kansas City threw three consecutive drives of at least 72 yards, each of which ended with a Patrick Mahomes touchdown pass.

The Chiefs led 21-3 against a Bengals club that looked drained and nervous. But the Bengals salvaged some hope just before halftime with a 70-yard drive that ended with a 41-yard touchdown pass from Joe Burrow to Samaje Perine on a well-designed screen. Cincinnati carried that momentum into the third quarter, putting on an 11-0 run that saw the game go into the fourth quarter in a 21-21 draw. The Chiefs will be determined to avoid a similar fate in Sunday’s rematch. See which team you should pick here.

How to do Bengals vs. Chiefs picks

Now Hartstein has broken down Bengals vs. Chiefs from every angle. We can tell you he’s under the total, but his much stronger play is in the spread. He found a critical X-factor that makes one side of the spread a must on Sunday. You can only see his game picks and analysis for the 2023 AFC Championship on SportsLine.

So who will win Bengals vs. Chiefs in AFC Championship Game 2023? And what critical factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bengals vs. Chiefs spread you should jump to on Sunday, all from the expert who is 29-16 against the spread picks with the Bengals or Chiefs, and find it out.