Carlos Correa used advanced stats to seal a record-breaking contract

Minnesota Twins shortstop Carlos Correa explained how advanced stats allowed him to negotiate the best possible contract.

Negotiating player rights through the CBA is one thing, but the work doesn’t stop there. MLB players are constantly negotiating for the best possible deal in professional baseball, and newly acquired Minnesota Twins shortstop Carlos Correa used baseball’s love of advanced statistics to his advantage as he strove to become the highest-paid infielder by yearly value.

Correa spoke to El Caribe journalist Yancen Pujols about how he used advanced statistics to prove his worth in owning Twins.

“Baseball has changed a lot,” Correa explained in the Spanish-language interview with Pujols. “The most important stats used to be home runs, AVG, RBI. These stats no longer determine how good a player is because you cannot make proper predictions with these stats. For example, a player who plays a lot in Colorado will hit more home runs than a player in Detroit. So if you want to take this player from Colorado and sign this player for many years, you can’t focus on the home runs. You need to focus on the advanced stats ie BB%, barrel rate, K%, wOBA, wRC+.”

Carlos Correa explains how his advanced stats have made him the best infielder in MLB

Instead of using his home run line, which he noted can vary depending on elevation, Correa promoted his incredible 7.2 WAR stat. That, Correa said, bolstered his argument for becoming the highest-paid infielder in the Twins.

“This game evolves a lot: every five years this sport changes a lot. They’re always trying to find ways to pay us players less, but we have to adapt to their new system so we’re getting paid what we’re really worth. In other words, wOBA, wRC+, OPS+, these are the stats you want. Those are the stats you can use to make forecasts. WAR – this is the most important value. So when I met Free Agency, all organizations knew that I had set up 7.2 WAR. If I’m not mistaken, I was level with Juan Soto. Here’s how the negotiations went: when I said I wanted to be the highest-paid infielder, they immediately accepted my offer.”

The Twins knew they were getting the best in the league in Correa, but the advanced stats that directly correlate to winning probability and franchise success provide scientific evidence that Correa is worth its steep price tag. Carlos Correa used advanced stats to seal a record-breaking contract

John Verrall

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