The first-ever Mexico Open in Vidanta on the PGA Tour schedule is here and we’re making our DraftKings picks and building a winning PGA DFS lineup.
If you don’t remember the Mexico Open in Vidanta from previous years of the PGA Tour, you’re actually right. This is a debut event on the tour, although the tournament itself has been played on various other tours for many years. That plus a relatively weak field makes for quite an interesting sight as we break down this week’s DraftKings PGA DFS list.
The natural inclination will be to include the guys you know in your lineup, and to an extent you want to do that. At the same time, however, most people will think so, so you’ll want to find the right points to pivot with your picks so you can vary your lineup enough that you have more upside potential.
However, this requires some surgical precision in your picks as only six players from the top 50 in the world play at Vidanta Vallarta, a course we are not familiar with but have enough information to discern that players are long and ready must be to score points to compete and fight.
You can find my expert picks and best bets in the link above, while BetSided’s Iain MacMillan also offers his absolute picks. Now that we’ve laid the groundwork, let’s analyze our top plays and fades for each prize tier using our Mexico Open DraftKings picks.
DraftKings Picks for Mexico Open PGA DFS Lineups: Top Plays
$10,000: Jon Rahm ($11,300) – If you look at the $10,000 range this week, the only player you should even consider is Rahm. Given his odds, one could argue that he’s undervalued and we know what his peak form looks like. That being said, it’s the obvious play as the rest of the range just isn’t worth this price tag, either for the natural fit or the recent shape (or both). Definitely go to Rahm or start your lineup in the $9,000 range. I personally prefer the latter.
$9,000: Gary Woodland ($9,900) – Each lineup I build for this week starts with Gary Woodland. Sure he’s my pick for the win but I also think his form and style of play fits perfectly with what most people are expecting for this week. He’s been off the tee for a long time, his approach play was phenomenal and he won with the putter. I’m loving it this week and think it should almost be a must-buy considering it’s just breaking the $10,000 mark. Also consider: Sebastian Munoz ($9,800), Chris Kirk ($9,600), Aaron Wise ($9,500), Kevin Streelman ($9,100)
$8,000: Charles Howell III ($8,400) – In the $8,000 range, it gets a little tricky to navigate, especially since you’ll likely need to dip into that area no matter where you start your lineup. Howell might not be the hottest pick, but he could very well be a good one. One of the best course comps for Vidanta is TPC San Antonio for the Valero. Howell was T4 there this year and has another top 10 recently. He’s also played decently well on resort style and tropical courses. In an area I’m skeptical about, I’ll take Howell. Also consider: Sahith Theegala ($8,800), Aaron Rai ($8,700), Davis Riley ($8,500), Lanto Griffin ($8,300)
$7,000: Tyler Duncan ($7,200) – I’ll keep beating the Tyler Duncan drum this week. He’s been in treacherous good form lately with a T14 at Zurich, a T12 at RBC Heritage and two top 30 wins before that. He’s not long off the tee, which is a concern, but he’s been really good on long approaches this year. In addition, Duncan finished T35 and T28 in Puerto Rico and Puntacana, two other competitions for Vidanta. At this price it’s a great value that could really blow up this week. Also consider: Anirban Lahiri ($7,900), Austin Smotherman ($7,800), Scott Stallings ($7,700), Patrick Rodgers ($7,600), Joseph Bramlett ($7,100)
$6,000: Justin Lower ($6,800) – My best advice would be to avoid the $6,000 area if possible. It’s getting pretty dark down here. However, I like the positive side of Lower, a guy who found success on the Korn Ferry last year and this year and finished in the top 20 on both Corales Putacana and Bermuda, two resort-like courses with sticky paspalum. That makes it worth a look if you need to dive down below. Also consider: Hayden Buckley ($6,800), Brandon Hagy ($6,400)
DraftKings Selects Mexico Open PGA DFS Lineups: Top Fades
$10,000: Kevin Na ($10,100) – Don’t just look at Na’s current form and think you might score a small in this weak field. Yes, he finished well, but he’s done so on courses that don’t require him to hit far from the tee or play well with his long approaches, two areas where he’s underperformed this season. This course demands players and is not worth the price. And for what it’s worth, avoid Patrick Reed like the plague too.
$9,000: Brendon Todd ($9,300) – Much like Na, Todd just doesn’t seem to have the length required to be successful in a course like this. Perhaps more importantly, given the conservative nature of his game, he was far too unpredictable. Paying in a talented $9,000 range, I want more security than what Todd is bringing to the table, so I won’t have any stock in him in Mexico this week.
$8,000: Doug Ghim ($8,900) – Throughout his career we’ve seen Ghim really burst at times and a tournament like this with a weak field would make sense. Still, the form just isn’t there to pay that price to have it on my lineup. He has missed the cut in four of his last six starts, including the Valero Texas Open. I can’t get into that this week and it’s one of the reasons the $8,000 range is so uncertain in my eyes.
$7,000: Wyndham Clark ($7,600) – In some aspects, a big hitter like Wyndham Clark could show up on this course, where errant drives shouldn’t be too punishable and players need to push down the course well off the tee. However, this is about the eye test. While Clark and Cameron Tringale played solidly at Zurich, Clark didn’t look good at all individually. There’s good value in the $7k range and Clark just won’t make it from what I saw last week.
Mexico Open: Best DraftKings Golf Lineup
- Gary Woodland ($9,900)
- Aaron Wise ($9,500)
- Charles Howell III ($8,400)
- Anirban Lahiri ($7,900)
- Tyler Duncan ($7,200)
- Joseph Bramlett ($7,100)
Woodland, Howell and Duncan have all been covered and I love their combo of uptrend and form going into this week where they should all be a solid fit. Wise is the linchpin of this lineup. His ball shot was terrific, but as always, his putter killed him. However, all indications are that he should be sidelined off the pitch and greens this week, meaning he could make a real noise.
We also saw Lahiri Pop this year with a second place at THE PLAYERS and a T13 at Valero. Seems good for this class and could be a sleeper. As for Bramlett, this is a shot in the dark for a bomber that’s also good with its long irons. His form isn’t much to write home about but he has the potential to just overpower this course and make some noise.
https://fansided.com/2022/04/27/mexico-open-draftkings-picks-best-pga-dfs-golf-lineup/ Best PGA DFS Golf Lineup