Best bets for Colby Covington vs. Jorge Masvidal

We arrived at UFC 272 with two former friends and now rivals resolving their feud in the cage.

Colby Covington and Jorge Masvidal have both come through losses to welterweight champion Kamaru Usman but will now turn to each other to settle their differences.

Both men have accomplished a lot in their UFC careers and this one feels like he’s focused on pride more than anything.

We’ll have a best bet for this one, as well as several scattered throughout the jam-packed map. Here are my best bets, some of which were discussed earlier this week on Jab, Cross, Hook. Check out the below, but let’s get to the pieces:

Quotations courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook

UFC best bets in 2022: 10-7 (+6.62 units)

While Masvidal brings a lot of star power and the element of surprise to his fights, he’s no match for Covington, who is clearly the second best welterweight in the world.

Masvidal was a mediocre fighter until he rose to stardom a few years ago with his highlight reel knockout of Ben Askren. However, when faced with legitimate competition like Usman, it was destroyed. Covington is an outstanding wrestler with an incredible gas tank. We’ve seen him face off against Usman while Masvidal never had a chance.

That being said, that’s a steep price to pay for someone with Masvidal’s power.

The most likely route to victory is Covington by Decision, which is indicated in the odds listed at -110 that Covington will win on the cards. I agree with the fact that this is the most likely route to victory, but I’ll instead be betting on the former interim champion on better priced money line combos. I will find several impressive candidates to partner with Covington who is the clear side here.

PICK: Covington in ML Parlays, LEAN: Covington by Decision up to -125

Dos Anjos has had a lot of free time, inactive since late 2020, but has tried to get back into the octagon to no avail. His original opponent Rafael Fiziev had to withdraw twice last month due to several problems and now he gets Moicano, who fought against Alexander Hernandez last month.

Moicano finished the fight in the second round but now has a difficult turn in a week to prepare for one of the most experienced fighters in the world. Moicano will travel to Las Vegas from Brazil this week and lose weight for this catchweight bout. There are just too many factors working against the short-term challenger.

Dos Anjos is a championship-level talent despite his advanced age (37) and should be able to take care of business as the fight rages on.

I never like to put the juice down but this line is short against RDA who will be calculated in his approach knowing Moicano doesn’t have the gas tank to take this fight into the later rounds.

PICK: Dos Anjos -180, play to -225

My two favorite favorites on the card (and good candidates to pair with Covington) are making near-even cash payouts.

Holland is coming out of middleweight to take on Alex Oliveira, who is on his way out of the UFC.

While Cowboy can have some standout moments trying to take down Holland, Trailblazer should be able to take care of the aging veteran in a short amount of time. Oliveira is on a three-way sled and this is a confidence-boosting fight for Holland, whose rise was quickly halted against elite middleweights like Derek Brunson and Marvin Vettori.

The weight class change will help Holland and lead to an easy finish.

The other fight may be closer, but I love Agapova at this point. After an embarrassing loss to big favorite Shana Dobson that left her mostly exhausted after a reckless first round, she seemed more calculated in her submission win over Sabrina Mazo last October.

Now she’s getting a heated rival in Maroz, who hasn’t fought since 2020 and will experience problems on her feet but also against Agapova’s ground play. There is also a score to settle for Agapova, as we have detailed Jab, Cross, Hook this week (check-in approx. 26 minutes):

I ride the pissed off fighter to get revenge.

PICK: Holland/Agapowa -106

Barboza is a former lightweight who now fights at featherweight and is a play-on fighter to me as an underdog. Sure, he loses to Giga Chikadze, but veteran Barboza is massive for the division and should cause some problems for Mitchell.

Mitchell is a wrestler who averages three takedowns per 15 minutes but will struggle to close the distance on Barboza, who has a five-inch range advantage. If he’s able to plug multiple takedowns, ‘Junior’ should touch him up from range, Barboza landing nearly two more significant hits a minute.

Sure, Mitchell can secure takedowns and make it look easy, but I’m not sure, Babroza has been in 32 professional fights and is more than capable of holding off the smaller Mitchell’s primary attack point. I think Barboza pulls this off in a game that underestimated him after losing to well-known striker Chikadze. This matchup is better for the veteran.

CHOOSE: Babroza +135, play to +120

You can find all bets from Reed HERE! Best bets for Colby Covington vs. Jorge Masvidal

John Verrall

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