Arkansas vs. Tennessee Prediction and Odds (Bet Razorbacks to Cover)

Two of the SEC’s best players meet for the second time this season as the home team seeks revenge on the rising Arkansas Razorbacks.

Tennessee is quietly building into a Final Four contender with recent victories over Kentucky and Auburn, and they will look to make it a third straight SEC contender at home when the Razorbacks come to town on Saturday.

Arkansas won an ugly game at home against the Vols, 58-48 as a 2.5-point favorite and has won 14 of 15 games. How will they fare in a difficult road environment? Here are the odds for this elite SEC showdown:


money line:

In total: 137

These two met Arkansas as small home favorites on Feb. 19. Since then, the Hogs have beaten Florida on the road and Kentucky and LSU at home (without covering either of the last two wins). While many are banking on emotional disappointment for Arkansas after such an incredible winning streak, that line is far too broad for two evenly matched teams.

Tennessee has been able to beat two elite SEC clubs (which Arkansas also recently beat), but I see no reason to move that line 8.5 points after Arkansas recently won a game.

The two clubs have a very similar profile, elite on defense while being up and down on offense. JD Notae and Jaylin Williams anchor Arkansas offense but the team struggles to score inside. Tennessee has the defensive prowess to challenge the Hogs, but Arkansas does a great job limiting turnovers and picking up the pace.

Tennessee is the stronger three-point shooting team, but Arkansas’ defense is more complete and compiles the best defensive efficiency rating in the SEC game. If Tennessee can’t produce a ton of clean looks from a three, they’ll struggle to score and we can see a similar rock fight at the second meeting.

Ultimately, I can not get to this line. I make this spread closer to -5 and even adding an extra point for the rematch point I see the value of this spread at +6.5 or better. Arkansas can stay close with their superior ball handling and elite defense, even when the situation calls for a bet on Tennessee.

PICK: Arkansas +7, play to +6.5

You can find all bets from Reed HERE! Arkansas vs. Tennessee Prediction and Odds (Bet Razorbacks to Cover)

John Verrall

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