Arkansas vs. Ole Miss Prediction and Proportion (Riding Rebels to a Home)

After a nasty win over the Florida Gators on Monday, Ole Miss Rebels host the Arkansas Razorbacks tonight in Oxford.

The Razorbacks won four in a row, including an after-hours thriller at home Saturday against Texas A&M, 76-73. While 14-5 in the off-season, they’re still in the middle of the pack in the SEC at 4-3.

Here is the latest odds calculation for tonight at WynnBET Sportsbook.


Cash flow:


Today I wrote a few games, including Florida and Tennessee where the teams will be competing in makeovers from the end of December and will have to squeeze them in this week. Some teams can even play up to 4 games in a week!

Arkansas is not one of those teams, and should be well-rested before tonight, but Ole Miss could have turned in their win over the Gators on Monday night. Matthew Murrell and Daeshun Ruffin were excellent, taking 20 and 21 points respectively, with Ruffin reaching the free-throw line 10 times by himself. With Arkansas having the No. 2 Regulated Defensive Effectiveness in the SEC passing KenPom, the Rebels will need to get to the charity strip to stay in it. In the last game, they shot with a score of 16-20.

Ole Miss also excelled in defending a three-pointer against Florida, with a score of 4–29 on Monday night. Good news for the rebels? Arkansas shot only 26.7% from downtown, and the rebels guarding outside was the second-best shot from the convention.

If Arkansas can’t do the triple hit and can’t secure Ole Miss in the lane, forcing them to do the shots outside, then I think Ole Miss is living here.

The Razorbacks are a far superior team after all, but with a quick turnaround and a stay at home, I like Kermit Davis’ squad that will stay tight all the time.

TILT: Ole Miss +4.5 (-110) Arkansas vs. Ole Miss Prediction and Proportion (Riding Rebels to a Home)

John Verrall

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