25-2 #2 The Arizona Wildcats beat the Colorado 76-55 last month and are headed for a comeback in the season when they take on the Buffaloes 18-10 tonight at 6pm MST.
Arizona won nine in a row but covered only four times in that span while Colorado won five of their last six but was battered by Arizona State in their final game. Will the Buffaloes be back in the big game for their NCAA Tournament hopes, or is the value in the Wildcats continuing to keep the heat going?
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I know it’s Colorado’s Senior Night and a strong performance will give them league hopes, but I don’t believe in this Buffaloes lineup. They control the ball more than 20% of their possession and are ranked 231st nationally in 2-point shot rate. Arizona has the best 2-point defense in the country and I don’t see how Colorado can score in this game.
The Buffaloes have been playing well lately, but the Wildcats are too good. Arizona is 7-2-1 to spread (ATS) in their last 10 road games, including all three in a row.
Colorado, meanwhile, has struggled with good teams all year. They are a pitiful 2-6 ATS in the last 8 games as an underdog team and 1-4-1 ATS in the last 6 at home. I prefer Arizona to include the two-digit difference today but the totals are also currently valid.
With the Buffaloes’ poor offensive ability, they are leading 8-1 in their games as a bottom team. I don’t see how they scored enough points to push this total to more than 152.5 and their defense will be able to slow Arizona down a bit. Only 131 points were scored in the first game and I think we will see a similar kind of game play out.
Pick: Arizona -10.5 (-110) and under 152.5 (-110)
https://fansided.com/betsided/posts/arizona-vs-colorado-prediction-and-odds-take-wildcats-in-low-scoring-game?utm_source=RSS Arizona vs Colorado Prediction and Odds (Get Wildcats in Low Score Game)