It’s been an exciting week in Group 5. Some of the top teams have shown their dominance. While Coastal Carolina struggled to get rid of a determined Troy team, other teams like Louisiana, Appalachian State and Liberty had impressive openings.
The games that we pay attention to on the sidelines prove to be good matches. The result was a 3-3 . record.
North Texas won outright in injury time to get the first conference win over Rice. San Jose State was able to take three points against Wyoming and Boise State went to Colorado State and walked away with a nine-point win. SMU lost to Houston in the second leg at 100 yards with 17 seconds remaining in allotted time. Fresno State took advantage of two turns going to San Diego State to win the road, and BYU rolled more than 730 yards over Virginia to deny former coach Bronco Mendenhall’s win in his return to Provo.
That brings the season record of 20-32-1. Like I said before, quality is not always found in the results but in logic/reasoning. Selections are made based on how well both teams do what they do, without unforeseen variables. At the end of the day, there are a lot of similarities in the G5 and that’s what makes it both fun and frustrating at the same time.
This week, there are some interesting matches that you can check out. A rivalry game, a G5 trying to punch up, a couple of teams losing their first game, a team trying to get above .500, and a G5 team having just two wins but having an excellent record compared to the margin. .
Army at Air Force -2.5, 11:30 am
Both teams are doing well this season but have stumbled along the way. Both remain two of the most rushed fouls in college football. Something that will have to offer as there is often extra adrenaline in the air as the Commander in Chief’s trophy is hung from the wire. The Air Force won against the Navy so victory over the Black Knights would lock that in for them.
After starting 4-0, the Black Knights have dropped three games in a row averaging more than 10 points per game. They weren’t as active as they were in 2020, and even then they barely made it past the Falcons. They will need the game to run consistently throughout the game to secure victory this weekend.
As for the Falcons, they’ve performed better this season and it’s no surprise that they’re favorites but their ability to spread is a surprise. When you think of this game as a highly competitive game, that factor should be considered in the score spread and will probably make this closer than it was before the game was released. play. If you think who has been more consistent offensively and defensively this season there’s no way you wouldn’t go with the Falcons.
Select: Air Force guarantees sweep, trophy and wrap, 20-14
Liberty at Ole Miss -9.5, noon
The game will feature two of the best prospects in the 2022 NFL Draft as Malik Willis brings his Flames to Oxford to take on Ole Miss and Matt Corral. It’s also another chance for Liberty to take on another Power 5 team after they just came back from beating Syracuse earlier in the year.
For Ole Miss, it’s a tough game to blow off steam before you finish the SEC round. They’ve been able to move the ball in front of every team they’ve faced this season and there’s no reason to believe they won’t be able to move it against Liberty, who have struggled to stop a Louisiana team- Monroe has a similar attack style. Corral will look to outperform his perceived QB1 opponent on the other side of the spectrum.
Their defenses will be full of Willis, who can legitimately become magical when he deals. He was able to throw three touchdowns against a quality Syracuse defence. He’s only had two extra games this season and he’s proven he’s upped his game to match the competitive level. He will be motivated by the same things as Corral.
In the end, the more talented team wins and finds a way to get that extra separation.
Pick: Ole Miss cover 45-32
SMU -5.5 at Memphis, noon
SMU suffered a heartbreaking first defeat of the season. They won’t have time to grieve as a very capable Memphis team awaits them this week and they are eyeing the Mustangs for their second loss in weeks.
The Tigers were about to lose 17 points to Central Florida two weeks ago. Most likely they used that time to correct their mistakes and prepare for the Mustang. By their standards, they have been disappointing this season. They dropped Tulsa and Temple, who have struggled this season, and UTSA are unbeaten. Trying to slow down an SMU team fueled by a loss they believe they don’t deserve is going to be really tough.
For SMU, it was important not to let the late kick back against Houston beat it twice. How the Mustangs recover from their first loss of the season will go a long way to seeing the overall growth of this program. They have been attacking as usual this season but they have failed to fulfill their defensive duties and they have clearly let teams down in particular. They’ll need to stay true to the foundations they’ve developed over the past few years and use Memphis to prove to the country that the Houston game is a momentary setback and not an indication that the show their.
Choose: Find a Mustang to drive again. SMU wins and covers, 34-24
Louisiana-Monroe in the State of Texas -3.5, 3pm
Despite losing the starting quarterback, Louisiana-Monroe fought its way to a respectable 4-4 record after a winless 2020 season. Head coach Terry Bowden and offensive coordinator Rich Rodriguez were quick to give this group an identity that gave them confidence in the team’s ability to perform well.
I don’t understand how the State of Texas scores in this game. I’m guessing because the Bobcats are the home team they’ve been favored for the favourites, but watching these teams play, I don’t believe Texas State is the better team. It’s not just their record (ULM won 4 games against Texas State 2 games) but also the quality of the opponents they’ve played so far and the results they’ve produced. ULM appear to be going up while the Bobcats have only one win in extra time in their previous five games.
Attack speed and patience in defense will be the difference in this game. ULM will hit over .500 and keep hope alive.
Pick: Louisiana-Monroe wins overall, 35-31
Navy at Notre Dame -20.5, 3:30 pm
Navy took home its two victories at South Bend when the Midshipmen took over Notre Dame. What they also bring is their excellent performance of late in comparison to the spread. After two big losses to Marshall and the Air Force to start the season, the Midshipmen were highly competitive. They lost to Houston by 8 points, the team was rated at 20. They made Central Florida 15 points behind. They lost to SMU to seven as a team 13.5 points behind. As a 28.5-point dog two weeks ago, they lost to Cincinnati at face-to-face and followed up with an outright win over Tulsa as an 11-point worse team. They are 5-1 in the last six matches.
The Fighting Irish are three-match unbeaten since their loss to Cincinnati, but they don’t have a very impressive victory. Now, they are welcome at the Navy, the team that has been able to produce ugly games against many of their opponents over the past six games. Notre Dame is still keeping an outside warning that if things go awry at the top, it could return to the knockouts. But the Irish will need to get the Midshipmen to remove their identities. If the Navy can make the game ugly and bleed the clock, they may not win but they have a great chance to get ahead.
Pick: Midshipmen cover but lose to Ireland, 27-13
San Diego State -7 in Hawaii, 11 p.m
San Diego State crossed too many times for Fresno State and that cost the Aztecs their unbeaten record. They will now head to Hawaii to get back on track against a team of Rainbow Warriors who were able to surprise the home teams.
San Diego State is clearly the better team in this game. Two of Hawaii’s wins were against New Mexico State, one of the worst teams in FBS. Not only do the Aztecs have one of the better dashing attacks in the association, but they also have a great defence.
Both teams played against Bang Fresno. While Hawaii was able to capitalize on four interceptions, San Diego State flipped the ball over twice and unsurprisingly the result was overturned. So, after their first loss of the season to a team they believe they are better at, the Aztecs will be anxious to prove that the Fresno loss was just a glitch. They’ll be cleaning up the revenue issues and building on what has helped them to seven wins so far this year; defense and running game.
Pick: SDSU wins and covers, 24-13
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https://theathletic.com/2932693/2021/11/03/group-of-5-odds-betting-picks-predicting-navy-to-cover-at-notre-dame-and-ole-miss-to-win-qb-showdown-with-liberty/?source=rss | Anticipating the Navy’s arrival at Notre Dame and Ole Miss to win QB in the confrontation with Liberty – The Athletic