In their rematch with a 69-63 win in Ohio last month, the Bobcats 23-5 are hoping for a similar outcome when they host the Akron Zips 18-9 game tonight at 6 p.m. EST.
Team Zips have won two in a row after a three-game losing streak while the Bobcats have won 17 of their last 20 and accounted for the disparity in three of the past four. Does the value lie in the Zippers to keep it on the road, or will the Zippers finish the season convincingly?
This is odds via WynnBET:
The Bobcats are a well-balanced, experienced team that emphasizes defending the ball on attack and forcing reversals on defense. They come out on top among the 50 countries in terms of both offense and defense turnover and hope to take advantage of an Akron defense that ranks outside the top 200 in adjusted efficiency.
Ohio is bursting with 15-1 at home and 19-0 as the favorites, but they are just 5-9 by the odds (ATS) as a favorite at home. House. Meanwhile, The Zips are being beaten 5-2 ATS by the 10th highest percentage of free throws in the country and strong presence inside.
Akron has the 84th best 2-point shot rate while the Bobcats are 225th when it comes to 2-point defense. Ohio’s defensive strength is on the outside, but Akron prefers to work on the inside anyway.
When these two teams first met in January, Akron was the two-point favorite at home. Now they’re 7.5 points off the road just a month later? I think that’s a huge overreaction and love the value we got on Zips tonight. But if we dig a little deeper, we will also find value.
The result is 11-3-1 when Ohio is a home favorite and every game closed with a total higher than 133.5. Meanwhile, overs have occurred in three of Zips’ last four games as underdogs, and all three overs closed with 140 seconds in total. I stick with those trends and think we’ll see the free throws at the end give Zips a cover and wrap up tonight.
Pick: Akron +7.5 (-110) and OVER 133 (-110)
https://fansided.com/betsided/posts/akron-vs-ohio-prediction-and-odds-bet-on-zips-to-cover-in-high-scoring-rematch?utm_source=RSS Akron vs Ohio Prediction and Odds (Bet on Zips to Cover in High Scoring Rematch)