8 Gambling Things More Likely Than Winning a Mega Millions Jackpot

The Mega Millions lottery is back make headlines with a current jackpot value of $1.28 billion. It’s nice to dream about winning between scrolling TikTok and ignoring your boss because of course you’re not going to win it. The odds are indistinguishable from zero. These jackpots are the real-world equivalent of a loot box, except the odds are 1,000 times worse and everyone loves them.

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Sometimes the numbers get so big they don’t mean anything anymore. A Pokemon-inspired NFT game hacked for over $500 million in crypto this year. Millions of miles from Earth there is a telescope taking pictures of a gas giant 1,000 light years away. Super Mario world is a billion seconds today old. And then there’s the Mega Millions jackpot, which is already the third largest in state lottery history.

A winner would receive $1,471,264 every two weeks for 29 years, or approximately $747 million net of taxes if they took the lump sum. That’s less than 1% of Amazon founder Jeff Bezos’ net worth, but it would still have been more than enough Buy Eidos Montreal from Square Enix and let them post a new one deus ex. However, the odds of this actually happening are always not in your favor.

In fact, they currently are one in 303 million. Again, numbers this big are hard to understand, but let’s try. Here’s a bunch of extremely rare things in video games that happen long before you ever get your hands on a lottery ticket.

Every chest I opened until I got Vex Mythoclast…

Some players ran destiny 2‘s Vault of Glass Raid over 200 times without ever getting his coveted Vex Mythoclast Exotic. Despite what seemed like an impossible task to them, everyone has a rough one one in 100 tries to get it on the first try.

You even have a better chance of getting the Sword of Kings earthbound the first time you kill a starman super than winning this lottery. In fact, you have a better chance of getting it three times in a row. It has a one in 128 drop rate. I’ve played the game a dozen times and only ever gotten it once.

to get the chances Genshin Impact‘s 5-star Pyro Diluc are better too. The rare fan favorite has a drop rate of around 1 in 166. In fact, most gacha mechanic games are incredibly generous in comparison. Everyone moves in Genshin Impact costs just a little more than a $2 Mega Millions ticket.

Rather, Princess Peach pulls a beam sword out of her pocket Super Smash Bros. Melee. The odds are there one of 768. If she pulled out a second right away, that would still have a better chance than you of winning the Mega Millions.

The Big Love Rocket, renamed the X-45 Heartbreaker last year, is one of the notoriously rarest mounts in the world World of Warcraft. While numbers like 1-2% were tossed around when it debuted during the 2006 Love is in the Air event, players estimated it to be much rarer and did the math roughly one of 3,333 chance to fall.

Shiny Pokémon hunters are notorious for spending days, weeks and more sometimes even longer Hunt for the rarest creatures. Even that is a cakewalk by comparison. Shiny odds are one in 4,096. Some players whisper about the overwhelming prospect of getting two back-to-back. The chances of that would be better.

Let’s stick with it Pokemon for a second. If the Pokemon Trading card game started in 1996, there were only four rarities, including foils. Now there are all sorts of other levels of uniqueness. Just one example is the Astral Radiance set that was released earlier this year 18 Secret Rare cards with gold finish. The probability of getting one is estimated at one in 128. The probability of getting a specific one in a specific package, such as B. Hisuian Samurott VSTAR, is estimated at one in 1,178. You will pull this trick twice before you become a billionaire.

The most common comparison for lottery odds is being hit by lights. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimates these chances to be less than one in a million. But the likelihood of being struck by lightning inside Minecraft are even more dramatic. In a map with 16,384 blocks and a 1 in 5,000 chance of lightning striking any of them during a storm, the odds are amazingly low one in 81 million of lightning that hits the player. Still a better bet than Mega Millions.

Still, someone out there will probably win the lottery at some point. There are over 100 million households in this country and some will no doubt buy dozens of tickets, if not more. And your chances are still better than finding one of the rarest loot items in it border areas. In July a Tiny Tina’s Wonderland Player found a class mod that only contained a one 85 billion chance to fall. The next Mega Millions draw is tonight at 11pm ET.